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Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Arcadia Minerals Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.06, upside -50.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000145815

AM Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Arcadia Minerals Ltd

AM7 · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0300 · Strongly overvalued (−50%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +75.6 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (4/6)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3700 A$0.0150 Fair Value A$0.0300 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0150 – A$0.3700 · the A$0.0600 price screens above the A$0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Arcadia Minerals Limited explores and develops mineral properties in Namibia. The company explores for tantalum, lithium, lithium in brine and clay, copper, gold, nickel, and platinum group elements deposits. Arcadia Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Victoria Park, Australia.

Stock analysis

Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7) currently trades at A$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Arcadia Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$75.8K in FY2024 versus A$30 in FY2020, a compound +609.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$734K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap A$7.0M (≈ $5.0M) · Return on equity −5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.3% · Operating margin −388% · Revenue (TTM) −A$41.1K · Revenue growth (YoY) −54.2% · Free cash flow −A$415K · Net cash A$2.0K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −50%, AM7 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0300 Fair Value A$0.0300 Bull A$0.0300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,988,766.7% (2020) → −979.9% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AM7 screens 100% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −54% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥36.66 ¥54.86 +50%

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Arcadia Minerals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0300 −100%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arcadia Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AM7

Frequently asked questions

Is Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0300 versus a price of A$0.0600, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AM7?
Our model-based fair value for Arcadia Minerals Ltd is A$0.0300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0600.
What is the quality score of AM7?
Arcadia Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arcadia Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0300, about −50% upside versus a price of A$0.0600 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arcadia Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arcadia Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AM7 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0600, fair value A$0.0300, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AM7?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0300). For Arcadia Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arcadia Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Arcadia Minerals Ltd at about A$7.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0600; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0300 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arcadia Minerals Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AM7 from its 52-week high?
Arcadia Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0600, about 12% below its 52-week high of A$0.0680 and 140% above the low of A$0.0250 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arcadia Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arcadia Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0600, calculated fair value A$0.0300 (−50%), Quality Score 49/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AM7 calculated?
We run Arcadia Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Arcadia Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0600. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0300, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arcadia Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Arcadia Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
The market capitalisation of Arcadia Minerals Ltd is A$7.0M (≈ $5.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arcadia Minerals Ltd is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arcadia Minerals Ltd is −12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
The operating margin of Arcadia Minerals Ltd is −388% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7) generate?
Arcadia Minerals Ltd generates revenue of −A$41.1K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7)?
Revenue at Arcadia Minerals Ltd is growing −54.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +75.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7) generate?
The free cash flow of Arcadia Minerals Ltd is −A$415K (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Arcadia Minerals Ltd (AM7) hold?
Arcadia Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.0K net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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