Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Amata VN PCL THB 5.85, price THB 2.34, upside +150.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.78 THB – 7.07 THB · fair‑value band 3.37 THB – 10.11 THB · the 2.34 THB price screens below the 5.85 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Amata VN Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the industrial estate development and other related business in Vietnam. The company operates through Industrial Estate Development, Utility Services, and Rental segments.
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Amata VN Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the industrial estate development and other related business in Vietnam. The company operates through Industrial Estate Development, Utility Services, and Rental segments. It leases industrial lands, logistics facilities, commercial lands, ready-built factories, and office buildings, as well as engages in the industrial park, and commercial and residential projects development activities. In addition, the company provides utility and infrastructure support services. Amata VN Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) currently trades at 2.34 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.85 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 15.23 THB per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the 2.34 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.18 THB, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.37 THB (bear) to 10.11 THB (bull), the price of 2.34 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Amata VN PCL reported revenue of 4.0B THB in FY2025 versus 1.6B THB in FY2021, a compound +26.3%/yr. Reported net income was 460M THB in FY2025, compounding −9.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B THB (≈ $74.6M) · P/E ratio 5.6 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) 0.4200 THB · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 150%, AMATAV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.37 THBFair Value 5.85 THBBull 10.11 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3084 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.4%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 24%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+150% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.85 THB versus a price of 2.34 THB, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AMATAV?
Our model-based fair value for Amata VN PCL is 5.85 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.34 THB.
What is the quality score of AMATAV?
Amata VN PCL has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.85 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.37 THB, optimistic scenario 10.11 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Amata VN PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.85 THB, about +150% upside versus a price of 2.34 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 3.37 THB, optimistic scenario 10.11 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Amata VN PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Amata VN PCL pay a dividend?
Amata VN PCL currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Amata VN PCL would have to grow free cash flow by -0.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +53.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AMATAV use?
Our models discount Amata VN PCL at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Amata VN PCL that is -0.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Amata VN PCL grew +53.4 % a year. The price currently implies -0.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Amata VN PCL (-0.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 30.14 %: that much free cash flow Amata VN PCL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Amata VN PCL it is 5.85 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.34 THB. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Amata VN PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AMATAV trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.34 THB, fair value 5.85 THB, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMATAV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.34 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.85 THB). For Amata VN PCL the two are 3.51 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Amata VN PCL worth?
The market values Amata VN PCL at about 2.5B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.34 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 5.85 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMATAV?
Our models span a range for Amata VN PCL: cautious scenario 3.37 THB, base 5.85 THB, optimistic 10.11 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.34 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AMATAV?
Amata VN PCL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 5.85 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Amata VN PCL (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMATAV from its 52-week high?
Amata VN PCL trades at 2.34 THB, about 4% below its 52-week high of 2.44 THB and 31% above the low of 1.78 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.85 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Amata VN PCL?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Amata VN PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.34 THB, calculated fair value 5.85 THB (+150%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMATAV calculated?
We run Amata VN PCL through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.85 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Amata VN PCL currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 2.34 THB. Our model-based fair value is 5.85 THB, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Amata VN PCL right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (3.37 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (3.37 THB to 10.11 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) come from?
Earnings per share at Amata VN PCL grew +10.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.8 %, EBIT margin −6.7 %, tax rate +3.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Amata VN PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The market capitalisation of Amata VN PCL is 2.5B THB (≈ $74.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Amata VN PCL is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Earnings per share at Amata VN PCL are 0.4200 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The dividend yield of Amata VN PCL is 2.3% (payout 13.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The net margin of Amata VN PCL is 11.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Amata VN PCL is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Amata VN PCL is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
The operating margin of Amata VN PCL is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Revenue at Amata VN PCL is growing −18.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +45.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Amata VN PCL (AMATAV)?
Earnings per share at Amata VN PCL are growing +186% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Amata VN PCL (AMATAV) carry?
The net debt of Amata VN PCL is 5.0B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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