Amada Co (AMDLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.8B
Amada Co
AMDLY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $59.32 to $54.32 (−8.4%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($67.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.55 – $74.66 · fair‑value band $40.74 – $67.89 · the $74.66 price screens above the $54.32 fair value. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Amada Co (AMDLY) currently trades at $74.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $54.32, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Amada Co generated revenue of $437B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $93.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $40.74 (bear case) to $67.89 (bull case); at $74.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -27%, AMDLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($60.38) versus Earnings-Based ($15.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Amada Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and provides services for various machines that process metals, resins, ceramics, and other materials in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
Amada Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and provides services for various machines that process metals, resins, ceramics, and other materials in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers sheet metal fabrication machines to cut, punch, bend, weld, and process metal sheets; metal cutting machines, which rotate tools affixed with saw blades to cut materials; structural steel machines, which cut and drill steel frames including H-shaped steel; and grinding machines for finishing of products required in the semiconductor industry, an emergent core industry, as well as in the automotive and aerospace industries. The company also provides micro welders, including laser welding and fine spot welding; micro laser markers; Stamping Press Automation Systems; Spring-Forming Machines; custom-made large press machine of 5,000kN and automation equipment; PCB drilling machines; and PCB laser processing machines. In addition, it is involved in the manufacturing with processing technologies, such as marking, peeling, deburring, and trimming. The company was formerly known as Amada Holdings Co., Ltd. Amada Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Isehara, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Amada Co reported revenue of $397B in FY2025 versus $250B in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $32.4B in FY2025, compounding +14.9%/yr from FY2021.
AMDLY screens 27% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
Compare Amada Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Amada Co (AMDLY) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of AMDLY?
What is the quality score of AMDLY?
What is the revenue of Amada Co (AMDLY)?
What is the net profit margin of AMDLY?
Does Amada Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Amada Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.