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PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (AMRT) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 54.9T IDR

PS PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk AMRT · JK
Price1,420 IDR
Fair Value1,414 IDR
Upside-0.4%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range 1,072 IDR – 2,115 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (1,072 IDR to 2,115 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3,417 IDR 791.19 IDR Fair Value 1,414 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 791.19 IDR – 3,417 IDR · fair‑value band 1,072 IDR – 2,115 IDR · the 1,420 IDR price screens above the 1,414 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (AMRT) currently trades at 1,420 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,414 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk generated revenue of 129T IDR at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.0T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,072 IDR (bear case) to 2,115 IDR (bull case); at 1,420 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 0%, AMRT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,037 IDR 1,823 IDR 3,259 IDR 80
Residual Income 568.41 IDR 751.56 IDR 3,029 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 891.78 IDR 1,485 IDR 2,263 IDR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,044 IDR 1,896 IDR 3,475 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 1,164 IDR 2,123 IDR 3,900 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 891.78 IDR 1,501 IDR 2,334 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,621 IDR 3,025 IDR 4,825 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 1,231 IDR 2,211 IDR 3,348 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 907.94 IDR 1,517 IDR 2,464 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,432 IDR 2,668 IDR 4,625 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 1,166 IDR 2,053 IDR 3,344 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 564.44 IDR 2,737 IDR 3,770 IDR 54
Lynch FV 732.70 IDR 1,047 IDR 1,361 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 732.70 IDR 1,047 IDR 1,361 IDR 46
EPV 698.58 IDR 804.86 IDR 899.33 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,307 IDR 1,743 IDR 2,179 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 1,058 IDR 1,411 IDR 1,764 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 1,058 IDR 1,411 IDR 1,764 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,121 IDR 1,462 IDR 1,804 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 2,006 IDR 2,642 IDR 3,278 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 827.41 IDR 1,141 IDR 1,454 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 219.28 IDR 293.84 IDR 438.56 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,037 IDR 1,823 IDR 3,259 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 891.78 IDR 1,485 IDR 2,263 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 568.41 IDR 751.56 IDR 3,029 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 791.74 IDR 1,069 IDR 1,450 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,139 IDR 1,627 IDR 2,115 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,053 IDR) versus Asset-Based (293.84 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 129T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 19.1%
Free cash flow 2.8T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 14.1
More key figures
Operating margin 4.1%
EPS (TTM) 84.85 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +11.2%
Net cash 2.0T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk engages in the retail distribution of consumer products in Indonesia. The company offers food and non-food products. It also operates minimarket networks and franchise services under the Alfamart brand.

Full company description

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk engages in the retail distribution of consumer products in Indonesia. The company offers food and non-food products. It also operates minimarket networks and franchise services under the Alfamart brand. In addition, the company engages in the retail distribution of cosmetics; retail and wholesale distribution of consumer products through internet; and pharmacy business. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT. Sigmantara Alfindo.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk reported revenue of 127T IDR in FY2025 versus 84.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4T IDR in FY2025, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
127T IDR
Latest YoY
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+18.4%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 84.9T IDR
FY22 96.9T IDR
FY23 107T IDR
FY24 118T IDR
FY25 127T IDR
Net income +15.4%/yr
FY21 1.9T IDR
FY22 2.9T IDR
FY23 3.4T IDR
FY24 3.1T IDR
FY25 3.4T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMRT

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −0% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 6.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 36
FUTURE 38 · sector 17
PAST 76 · sector 51
HEALTH 98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$65.49 C$44.44 -32%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €36.30 €53.50 +47%
The Kroger Co KR $58.82 $28.19 -52%
Woolworths Group WOW A$39.20 A$13.40 -66%
George Weston Limited WN C$100.98 C$63.61 -37%
Coles Group COL A$23.56 A$15.86 -33%
Metro Inc MRU C$93.64 C$94.01 +0%
Carrefour SA CA €16.40 €11.51 -30%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.89 SGD 2.36 SGD +25%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 385.75 TRY 267.12 TRY -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (AMRT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,414 IDR versus a price of 1,420 IDR, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AMRT?
Our model-based fair value for PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk is 1,414 IDR (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,420 IDR.
What is the quality score of AMRT?
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk (AMRT)?
PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 129T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AMRT?
The net profit margin of PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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