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Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Andira Agro Tbk PT IDR 8, price IDR 24, upside -67.9%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · ID · ISIN ID1000145105

AA Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Andira Agro Tbk PT

ANDI · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Moderate debt
Fair value 7.70 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−67.9%)
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.1 %/yr in IDR)
Loss-making · -23.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

51.00 IDR 4.00 IDR Fair Value 7.70 IDR May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.00 IDR – 51.00 IDR · fair‑value band 2.05 IDR – 13.36 IDR · the 24.00 IDR price screens above the 7.70 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Andira Agro, Tbk engages in owning, operating, and managing crude palm oil plantations in Indonesia. The company operates through Crude Palm Oil and Palm Kernel segments. It is involved in cultivating and harvesting fresh fruit bunches (FFB) from palm trees; and extracting and refining crude palm oil and palm kernel from FFB.

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PT Andira Agro, Tbk engages in owning, operating, and managing crude palm oil plantations in Indonesia. The company operates through Crude Palm Oil and Palm Kernel segments. It is involved in cultivating and harvesting fresh fruit bunches (FFB) from palm trees; and extracting and refining crude palm oil and palm kernel from FFB. PT Andira Agro, Tbk was founded in 1995 and is based in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI) currently trades at 24.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.70 IDR, 67.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.05 IDR (bear) to 13.36 IDR (bull), the price of 24.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Andira Agro Tbk PT reported revenue of 246B IDR in FY2025 versus 346B IDR in FY2021, a compound −8.2%/yr. Reported net income was −41.0B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 224B IDR (≈ $12.6M) · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) −3.90 IDR · Net margin −16.6% · Return on equity −29.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.9% · Operating margin −13.8% · Revenue (TTM) 156B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −68%, ANDI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.05 IDR Fair Value 7.70 IDR Bull 13.36 IDR
Price 24.00 IDR · Upside -67.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 2.60 IDR 8.25 IDR 13.90 IDR 61
NCAV (Graham) 6.34 IDR 8.50 IDR 12.69 IDR 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 2.60 IDR 8.25 IDR 13.90 IDR 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.34 IDR 8.50 IDR 12.69 IDR 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 8/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.9% (2020) → −6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ANDI screens overvalued: fair value 68% below the price. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 289 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −23.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −13.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −68.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.14× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 42.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)43 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.48 ¥115.35 +185% vs ANDI
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.80 THB 55.71 THB +156% vs ANDI
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥155.26 ¥254.63 +64% vs ANDI
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 205.60 kr 280.90 +37% vs ANDI
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.58 MYR 35.84 MYR +10% vs ANDI
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 −17% vs ANDI
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $51.89 $37.06 −29% vs ANDI
Bunge Global SA BG $106.72 $56.75 −47% vs ANDI
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $80.45 $38.02 −53% vs ANDI
SalMar ASA SALM kr 580.50 kr 171.05 −71% vs ANDI

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Andira Agro Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ANDI

Frequently asked questions

Is Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.70 IDR versus a price of 24.00 IDR, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ANDI?
Our model-based fair value for Andira Agro Tbk PT is 7.70 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ANDI?
Andira Agro Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.70 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.05 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.36 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Andira Agro Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.70 IDR, about −68% upside versus a price of 24.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.05 IDR, optimistic scenario 13.36 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Andira Agro Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 156B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Andira Agro Tbk PT it is 7.70 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 24.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Andira Agro Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, ANDI trades above its calculated fair value: price 24.00 IDR, fair value 7.70 IDR, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ANDI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.70 IDR). For Andira Agro Tbk PT the two are 16.30 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Andira Agro Tbk PT worth?
The market values Andira Agro Tbk PT at about 224B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 24.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 7.70 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ANDI?
Our models span a range for Andira Agro Tbk PT: cautious scenario 2.05 IDR, base 7.70 IDR, optimistic 13.36 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 24.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Andira Agro Tbk PT (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −29.6%, debt of 1.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ANDI from its 52-week high?
Andira Agro Tbk PT trades at 24.00 IDR, about 38% below its 52-week high of 39.00 IDR and 71% above the low of 14.00 IDR (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.70 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Andira Agro Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Andira Agro Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 24.00 IDR, calculated fair value 7.70 IDR (−68%), Quality Score 38/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ANDI calculated?
We run Andira Agro Tbk PT through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.70 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Andira Agro Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was 24.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 7.70 IDR, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Andira Agro Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.36 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (2.05 IDR to 13.36 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Andira Agro Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
The market capitalisation of Andira Agro Tbk PT is 224B IDR (≈ $12.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Andira Agro Tbk PT is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Earnings per share at Andira Agro Tbk PT are −3.90 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
The net margin of Andira Agro Tbk PT is −16.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Andira Agro Tbk PT is −29.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Andira Agro Tbk PT is −4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
The operating margin of Andira Agro Tbk PT is −13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Revenue at Andira Agro Tbk PT is growing −68.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI)?
Earnings per share at Andira Agro Tbk PT are growing +66.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI) generate?
The free cash flow of Andira Agro Tbk PT is −12.1B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Andira Agro Tbk PT (ANDI) carry?
The net debt of Andira Agro Tbk PT is 139B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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