Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk stock IDR 302, price IDR 171, upside +76.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 159.42 IDR – 269.93 IDR · fair‑value band 230.47 IDR – 428.27 IDR · the 171.00 IDR price screens below the 301.59 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk engages in the export and import trading of metal goods in Indonesia. It operates through Valve, Fitting, Instrument, and Others segments.
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The company offers CCTV, control valve, firefighting products, fitting flange, flowmeter, valve and general product, pressure and temperature measurement, sanitary, thermoplastic, and water pump.
It also engages in construction services; repair services and equipment installation; architectural and engineering services; water management; and manufactures and trades in valve and other products. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia.
PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Arita Global.
Stock analysis
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) currently trades at 171.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 301.59 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 43% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 370.35 IDR per share, and 17 of the 23 models we run sit above the 171.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 66.89 IDR, and 6 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 230.47 IDR (bear) to 428.27 IDR (bull), the price of 171.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 319B IDR in FY2025 versus 252B IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 8.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 192B IDR (≈ $10.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) 18.78 IDR · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 76%, APII screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear230.47 IDRFair Value 301.59 IDRBull428.27 IDR
Price 171.00 IDR · Upside +76.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (12.68 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−17.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.9% vs −6.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.4% a year for the price.
Compare Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+76.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)14.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.57× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)18.1× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APII
Frequently asked questions
Is Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 301.59 IDR versus a price of 171.00 IDR, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of APII?
Our model-based fair value for Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 301.59 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 171.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of APII?
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 301.59 IDR (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 230.47 IDR, optimistic scenario 428.27 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 301.59 IDR, about +76% upside versus a price of 171.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 230.47 IDR, optimistic scenario 428.27 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 335B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk pay a dividend?
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk pays a dividend of 4.00 IDR per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 6, 2026. The payout ratio is 21.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.47 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +6.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of APII use?
Our models discount Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk that is +6.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (+6.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.13 %: that much free cash flow Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk it is 301.59 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 171.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, APII trades below its calculated fair value: price 171.00 IDR, fair value 301.59 IDR, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of APII?
No. The price is what the market pays today (171.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (301.59 IDR). For Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk the two are 130.59 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk worth?
The market values Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk at about 192B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 171.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 301.59 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about APII?
Our models span a range for Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk: cautious scenario 230.47 IDR, base 301.59 IDR, optimistic 428.27 IDR per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 171.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of APII?
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 301.59 IDR is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 13.8. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is APII from its 52-week high?
Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk trades at 171.00 IDR, about 21% below its 52-week high of 217.12 IDR and 6% above the low of 161.37 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 301.59 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 171.00 IDR, calculated fair value 301.59 IDR (+76%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of APII calculated?
We run Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk through 23 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 301.59 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk currently trades 43% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 171.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 301.59 IDR, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (230.47 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (230.47 IDR to 428.27 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) come from?
Earnings per share at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk grew −4.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −6.5 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The market capitalisation of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 192B IDR (≈ $10.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 0.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Earnings per share at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk are 18.78 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The dividend yield of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 2.3% (payout 21.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The net margin of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
The operating margin of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Revenue at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
Earnings per share at Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk are growing −73.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) carry?
The net debt of Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 130B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026