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PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 198B IDR

PA PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk APII · JK
Price187.00 IDR
Fair Value165.95 IDR
Upside-11.3%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.20% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Medium Range 124.46 IDR – 207.44 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 124.46 IDR (bear) to 207.44 IDR (bull), base 165.95 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

269.93 IDR 159.42 IDR Fair Value 165.95 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 159.42 IDR – 269.93 IDR · fair‑value band 124.46 IDR – 207.44 IDR · the 187.00 IDR price screens above the 165.95 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) currently trades at 187.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 165.95 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 329B IDR at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 130B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 124.46 IDR (bear case) to 207.44 IDR (bull case); at 187.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -11%, APII screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 118.64 IDR 166.39 IDR 232.79 IDR 80
Residual Income 263.89 IDR 250.88 IDR 199.06 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 225.80 IDR 373.55 IDR 534.59 IDR 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 115.96 IDR 168.32 IDR 244.91 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 17.30 IDR 21.81 IDR 28.41 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 225.80 IDR 375.23 IDR 564.42 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 291.74 IDR 494.76 IDR 727.49 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 117.02 IDR 178.06 IDR 239.88 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 175.43 IDR 301.72 IDR 467.18 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 225.63 IDR 383.33 IDR 588.08 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 115.62 IDR 167.11 IDR 226.55 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 53.74 IDR 141.40 IDR 184.63 IDR 54
PEG = 1.0 27.11 IDR 38.72 IDR 50.34 IDR 46
EPV 250.53 IDR 290.95 IDR 326.31 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 124.46 IDR 165.95 IDR 207.44 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 100.76 IDR 134.34 IDR 167.93 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 100.76 IDR 134.34 IDR 167.93 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 422.14 IDR 560.18 IDR 698.23 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 441.22 IDR 585.62 IDR 730.03 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 303.58 IDR 430.26 IDR 556.94 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 187.01 IDR 250.60 IDR 374.03 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 118.64 IDR 166.39 IDR 232.79 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 225.80 IDR 373.55 IDR 534.59 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 263.89 IDR 250.88 IDR 199.06 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 250.53 IDR 290.95 IDR 326.31 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 97.42 IDR 139.17 IDR 180.92 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (250.88 IDR) versus Growth Earnings (139.17 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 329B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.5%
Net margin 4.6%
Return on equity 3.6%
Free cash flow 10.6B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) 18.78 IDR
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +191%
Net debt 130B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk engages in the export and import trading of metal goods in Indonesia. It operates through Valve, Fitting, Instrument, and Others segments.

Full company description

PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk engages in the export and import trading of metal goods in Indonesia. It operates through Valve, Fitting, Instrument, and Others segments. The company offers CCTV, control valve, firefighting products, fitting flange, flowmeter, valve and general product, pressure and temperature measurement, sanitary, thermoplastic, and water pump. It also engages in construction services; repair services and equipment installation; architectural and engineering services; water management; and manufactures and trades in valve and other products. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia. PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Arita Global.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 319B IDR in FY2025 versus 252B IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 8.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
319B IDR
Latest YoY
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 252B IDR
FY22 295B IDR
FY23 299B IDR
FY24 280B IDR
FY25 319B IDR
Net income −18.7%/yr
FY21 19.5B IDR
FY22 12.8B IDR
FY23 29.0B IDR
FY24 4.3B IDR
FY25 8.5B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −4.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.9 pp

of which total revenue +4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp

EBIT margin −6.5 pp
Tax rate −1.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

APII screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APII

Peer Group

Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside −11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 3
FUTURE 68 · sector 14
PAST 14 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Techtronic Industries Company 0669 HK$129.60 HK$81.05 -37%
Snap-on Incorporated SNA $410.99 $350.46 -15%
RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC $595.49 $184.29 -69%
Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO $252.58 $154.80 -39%
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK $88.22 $54.24 -39%
AB SKF (publ) SKFB kr 258.90 kr 192.57 -26%
The Timken Company TKR $139.47 $66.33 -52%
The Toro Company TTC $94.42 $69.71 -26%
SFS Group SFSN CHF 140.00 CHF 118.30 -16%
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 ¥29.33 ¥35.72 +22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 165.95 IDR versus a price of 187.00 IDR, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of APII?
Our model-based fair value for PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is 165.95 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 187.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of APII?
PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk (APII)?
PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 329B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of APII?
The net profit margin of PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Arita Prima Indonesia Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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