PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk, (APLN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ID · Market cap 2.8T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +3.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (105.64 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 80.00 IDR – 216.00 IDR · fair‑value band 63.38 IDR – 105.64 IDR · the 129.00 IDR price screens above the 84.51 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk, (APLN) currently trades at 129.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 84.51 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 34.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk, generated revenue of 5.6T IDR at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 231.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 4.5T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 63.38 IDR (bear case) to 105.64 IDR (bull case); at 129.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -34%, APLN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (340.65 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (26.86 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and manages retail, commercial, and residential real estate properties in Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and manages retail, commercial, and residential real estate properties in Indonesia. The company involved in the land acquisition and sourcing, design and development, project management, commercial leasing, and marketing; and operation and management of superblock developments, shophouses, shopping malls, offices, hotels, and residential apartments and houses. It offers management and business consultancy services; and operates trade centers. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Indofica.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk, reported revenue of 3.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 113B IDR in FY2025.
of which total revenue −2.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
APLN screens 34% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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