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Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd ILS 86.78, price ILS 48.84, upside +77.7%, quality 84 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · Il · ISIN IL0010852650

AR Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd

ARAN · TA

Strongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.

✓Fair value 86.78 ILA · Strongly undervalued (+78%)
✓Quality 84/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +22.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·11.71% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Moderate moat 51/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

51.59 ILA 13.05 ILA Fair Value 86.78 ILA May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.05 ILA – 51.59 ILA · fair‑value band 65.08 ILA – 108.47 ILA · the 48.84 ILA price screens below the 86.78 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Aran Research & Development (1982) Ltd. engages in the product design and development, and equipment manufacturing businesses for plastics industry in Israel. It operates through Investments in Ventures and Start-Up Companies; Sale of Equipment and Raw Materials; and Product Development, Design, and Manufacturing Services segments.

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Aran Research & Development (1982) Ltd. engages in the product design and development, and equipment manufacturing businesses for plastics industry in Israel. It operates through Investments in Ventures and Start-Up Companies; Sale of Equipment and Raw Materials; and Product Development, Design, and Manufacturing Services segments. The company develops various medical devices; water devices and fluid management systems, including pressure and flow regulators, electric and hydraulic valves, air release valves, sprinklers, drippers, taps, water meters, filters, check valves, electronic controllers, and testing devices; and measurement and weighing devices, specialty printers, automatic beverage machines, computerized shopping carts and self-checkout kiosks, industrial and communication devices, and batteries. It also provides plastic sheets for agriculture, food and industrial packaging, pipes, and other technical products; technical support, training, analysis, after sales, logistics, and other services; and technological consulting, and software and computing personnel placement services. In addition, the company supplies machines and equipment, such as injection molding machines, robotics and automation, injection molds, hot runner systems, drying dosing and conveying systems, plasticizing screws barrels, ultrasonic welding and cleaning, and raw materials; designs, manufactures, and imports injection molds; and invests in medical start-up companies. It serves government ministries and public bodies; and the defense, medical and biotechnology, printing, water and agricultural, and consumer products industries. The company was formerly known as Aran Consulting and Development (1982) Ltd. and changed its name to Aran Research & Development (1982) Ltd. in May 1994. Aran Research & Development (1982) Ltd. was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Caesarea, Israel.

Stock analysis

Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) currently trades at 48.84 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 86.78 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 43.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 126.08 ILA per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the 48.84 ILA price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 14.03 ILA, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 65.08 ILA (bear) to 108.47 ILA (bull), the price of 48.84 ILA sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd reported revenue of 263M ILS in FY2025 versus 206M ILS in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 18.7M ILS in FY2025, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 223M ILA · P/E ratio 11.9 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) 4.09 ILA · Dividend yield 11.7% · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 23.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 78%, ARAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 65.08 ILA Fair Value 86.78 ILA Bull 108.47 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 119.06 ILA 159.20 ILA 207.49 ILA 80
Owner Earnings 59.62 ILA 81.09 ILA 108.82 ILA 77
Rev-Margin DCF 74.86 ILA 99.00 ILA 128.25 ILA 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 59.62 ILA 81.09 ILA 108.82 ILA 77
5Y P/E Exit 89.98 ILA 126.08 ILA 163.60 ILA 72
10Y P/E Exit 101.66 ILA 133.78 ILA 172.45 ILA 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 28.10 ILA 97.62 ILA 131.17 ILA 64
Lynch FV 22.65 ILA 32.36 ILA 42.06 ILA 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 21.63 ILA 36.22 ILA 47.01 ILA 68
DDM Multi-Stage 21.63 ILA 34.13 ILA 38.97 ILA 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 65.08 ILA 86.78 ILA 108.47 ILA 63
P/B Multiple 52.69 ILA 70.25 ILA 87.81 ILA 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.47 ILA 14.03 ILA 20.94 ILA 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 119.06 ILA 159.20 ILA 207.49 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 74.86 ILA 99.00 ILA 128.25 ILA 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 21.23 ILA 26.16 ILA 47.09 ILA 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 84/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+57.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+46.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.46% vs 18%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 378 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +79% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)57 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)95 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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SGH Limited SGH A$36.69 A$42.47 +16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 86.78 ILA versus a price of 48.84 ILA, about +78% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ARAN?
Our model-based fair value for Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 86.78 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 48.84 ILA.
What is the quality score of ARAN?
Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 86.78 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 65.08 ILA, optimistic scenario 108.47 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 86.78 ILA, about +78% upside versus a price of 48.84 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 65.08 ILA, optimistic scenario 108.47 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 263M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd pay a dividend?
Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -18.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARAN use?
Our models discount Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd that is -18.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd grew +22.4 % a year. The price currently implies -18.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (-18.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.55 %: that much free cash flow Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd it is 86.78 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 48.84 ILA. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ARAN trades below its calculated fair value: price 48.84 ILA, fair value 86.78 ILA, a gap of about +78% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (48.84 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (86.78 ILA). For Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd the two are 37.94 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd worth?
The market values Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd at about 223M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 48.84 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 86.78 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARAN?
Our models span a range for Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd: cautious scenario 65.08 ILA, base 86.78 ILA, optimistic 108.47 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 48.84 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARAN?
Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 86.78 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 23.7%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 84/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARAN from its 52-week high?
Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd trades at 48.84 ILA, about 5% below its 52-week high of 51.59 ILA and 96% above the low of 24.92 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 86.78 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 48.84 ILA, calculated fair value 86.78 ILA (+78%), Quality Score 84/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARAN calculated?
We run Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 86.78 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd currently trades 78 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 48.84 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 86.78 ILA, about +78% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (84/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (65.08 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) come from?
Earnings per share at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd grew +18.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.3 %, EBIT margin +3.5 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The market capitalisation of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 223M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Earnings per share at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd are 4.09 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The dividend yield of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 11.7% (payout 140%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The net margin of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 23.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
The operating margin of Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Revenue at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd is growing +11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN)?
Earnings per share at Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd are growing +189% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd (ARAN) hold?
Aran Research and Development 1982 Ltd holds more cash than debt, 26.6M ILA net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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