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Argo Blockchain plc (ARBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $54.0M

AB Argo Blockchain plc logo Argo Blockchain plc ARBK · US
Price$2.88
Fair Value$1.05
Upside-63.7%
Quality39/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 32.8% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.7905 – $1.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −13.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4,441 $2.66 Fair Value $1.05 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $2.66 – $4,441 · fair‑value band $0.7905 – $1.31 · the $2.88 price screens above the $1.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Argo Blockchain plc (ARBK) currently trades at $2.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Argo Blockchain plc generated revenue of $15.5M at a net margin of 32.8%. Revenue declined 74.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.3M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7905 (bear case) to $1.31 (bull case); at $2.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -64%, ARBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.96 $2.86 $22.65 76
P/E Multiple $3.39 $4.52 $5.65 63
P/B Multiple $0.9300 $1.23 $1.54 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.66 $5.80 $10.35 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.36 $11.18 $15.38 54
Lynch FV $2.97 $4.24 $5.51 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.39 $4.52 $5.65 63
P/B Multiple $0.9300 $1.23 $1.54 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4400 $0.5900 $0.8800 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.96 $2.86 $22.65 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($5.80) versus Asset-Based ($0.5900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $15.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -74.7%
Net margin 32.8%
Return on equity -439%
Free cash flow −$25.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 0.7
More key figures
Operating margin -392%
EPS (TTM) $4.97
EPS growth (YoY) -94.0%
Net debt $1.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Argo Blockchain plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in bitcoin and other crypto assets buisiness. It is also involved in cryptocurrencies mining activities. The company was formerly known as GoSun Blockchain Limited and changed its name to Argo Blockchain plc in December 2017.

Full company description

Argo Blockchain plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in bitcoin and other crypto assets buisiness. It is also involved in cryptocurrencies mining activities. The company was formerly known as GoSun Blockchain Limited and changed its name to Argo Blockchain plc in December 2017. Argo Blockchain plc was incorporated in 2017 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Argo Blockchain plc reported revenue of $15.5M in FY2025 versus $98.7M in FY2021, a compound −37.0%/yr. Reported net income was $5.1M in FY2025, compounding −39.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$15.5M
Latest YoY
−68.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−35.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+53.7%
Revenue −37.0%/yr
FY21 $98.7M
FY22 $58.6M
FY23 $57.7M
FY24 $48.5M
FY25 $15.5M
Net income −39.9%/yr
FY21 $39.1M
FY22 −$229M
FY23 −$34.6M
FY24 −$55.1M
FY25 $5.1M

ARBK screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Argo Blockchain plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARBK

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -29% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Revenue growth -75% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.05× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Argo Blockchain plc (ARBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.05 versus a price of $2.88, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARBK?
Our model-based fair value for Argo Blockchain plc is $1.05 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.88.
What is the quality score of ARBK?
Argo Blockchain plc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Argo Blockchain plc (ARBK)?
Argo Blockchain plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARBK?
The net profit margin of Argo Blockchain plc is about 32.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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