China International Capital Corporation (601995) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 171B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from ¥38.83 to ¥34.48 (−11.2%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥26.33 – ¥61.21 · fair‑value band ¥25.86 – ¥43.10 · the ¥34.91 price screens above the ¥34.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
China International Capital Corporation (601995) currently trades at ¥34.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥34.48, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China International Capital Corporation generated revenue of 32.0B CNY at a net margin of 35.4%. Revenue grew 63.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at 265B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥25.86 (bear case) to ¥43.10 (bull case); at ¥34.91, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -1%, 601995 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥247.69) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China International Capital Corporation Limited provides financial services in Mainland China and internationally. It operates in six segments: Investment Banking; Equities; Fixed Income, Commodities, and Currencies (FICC); Asset Management; Private Equity; and Wealth Management.
Full company description
China International Capital Corporation Limited provides financial services in Mainland China and internationally. It operates in six segments: Investment Banking; Equities; Fixed Income, Commodities, and Currencies (FICC); Asset Management; Private Equity; and Wealth Management. The Investment Banking segment provides investment banking services, including equity and debt financing, and asset securitization services; sponsorship and underwriting of listings and refinancings; underwriting of domestic and overseas fixed income financing instruments; and financial advisory services for transactions, such as corporate mergers and acquisitions, debt restructurings, and private financing. Its Equity segment offers investment research, sales, and trading; product structuring and cross-border services; and institutional trading and capital services, such as primary brokerage, over-the-counter derivatives, capital introduction, and market-making transactions to professional investors. The FICC segment provides sales, trading, research, advisory, fixed-income structuring, commodity and foreign exchange securities, and derivatives services in interest rate, credit, structured, foreign exchange, and commodity business. Its Asset Management segment engages in social security and annuity plans, institutional entrusted investment management, offshore asset management, retail and mutual fund products and services to investors. The Private Equity segment provides corporate equity investment funds, funds of funds, dollar funds, real asset funds, and infrastructure funds. Its Wealth Management segment offers trading and capital services, such as margin financing, securities lending and stock-pledged repo, and product allocation services. China International Capital Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China International Capital Corporation reported revenue of ¥40.1B in FY2025 versus ¥33.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.8B in FY2025, compounding −2.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- CICC Successfully Held the 4th China–Southeast Asia Economic and Finance Forum in Singapore
- China International Capital (SEHK:3908) Stock Valuation Check After Recent Mixed Performance
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 424 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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