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Data-driven stock valuation

Aerodrome Group (ARDM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aerodrome Group stock ILS 0.37, price ILS 0.67, that is 45.0% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive Il · ISIN IL0003630105

AG Aerodrome Group logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Aerodrome Group

ARDM · TA
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 45% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter 51% below a year ago.
Fair value 0.3686 ILS · Strongly overvalued
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.0 %/yr in ILS)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 20/100
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

4.96 ILS 0.2530 ILS Fair Value 0.3686 ILS Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2530 ILS – 4.96 ILS · fair‑value band 0.2764 ILS – 0.4607 ILS · the 0.6700 ILS price screens above the 0.3686 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Aerodrome Group Ltd engages in the aerial intelligence and knowledge transfer businesses in Israel. The company is involved in the planning, development, production of unmanned aerial vehicles, including the integration of technological systems into aerial platforms for military and civilian uses.

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It also engages in the development, production, and marketing of systems for collecting, processing, analyzing, and making information from the aerial intelligence available to customers in the defense and civilian markets. Aerodrome Group Ltd is based in Petah Tikva, Israel.

Stock analysis

Aerodrome Group (ARDM) currently trades at 0.6700 ILS, while our estimate is 0.3686 ILS, 45% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 0.2764 ILS (bear) to 0.4607 ILS (bull), the price of 0.6700 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Aerodrome Group reported revenue of 9.7M ILS in FY2025 versus 18.8M ILS in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −21.6M ILS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 115M ILS Micro · P/S ratio 17.5 · EPS (TTM) −0.3700 ILS · Return on equity −61.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −35.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −252% · Revenue (TTM) 6.6M ILS · Revenue growth (YoY) −51.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 87% below its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 31% fair-value upside, at −45%, ARDM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 0.2764 ILS Fair Value 0.3686 ILS Bull 0.4607 ILS
Price 0.6700 ILS · Downside -45.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 52
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 33
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 55
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−32.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−68.7% (2020) → −115.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ARDM screens overvalued: fair value 45% below the price. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 116 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −45.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −160.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −51.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 17.23× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 17.32× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Stride, Inc LRN $76.82 $171.72 +124% vs ARDM
New Oriental Education & Technology Group 9901 HK$41.68 HK$64.53 +55% vs ARDM
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $28.87 $41.20 +43% vs ARDM
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $116.50 $154.63 +33% vs ARDM
Covista Inc CVSA $116.50 $152.79 +31% vs ARDM
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $34.96 $42.74 +22% vs ARDM
East Buy Holding 1797 HK$29.14 HK$33.66 +16% vs ARDM
Youdao, Inc DAO $19.83 $18.57 −6% vs ARDM
McGraw Hill, Inc MH $10.76 $8.95 −17% vs ARDM
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹126.65 ₹31.71 −75% vs ARDM

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Aerodrome Group: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aerodrome Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARDM

Frequently asked questions

Is Aerodrome Group (ARDM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 0.3686 ILS versus a price of 0.6700 ILS, about 45% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARDM?
Our estimate for Aerodrome Group is 0.3686 ILS (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6700 ILS.
What is the quality score of ARDM?
Aerodrome Group has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 0.3686 ILS (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 0.2764 ILS, optimistic scenario 0.4607 ILS. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Aerodrome Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 0.3686 ILS, about 45% lower versus a price of 0.6700 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2764 ILS, optimistic scenario 0.4607 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
Aerodrome Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.6M ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aerodrome Group it is 0.3686 ILS per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 0.6700 ILS.
Is Aerodrome Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ARDM trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.6700 ILS, fair value 0.3686 ILS, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARDM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6700 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3686 ILS). For Aerodrome Group the two are 0.3014 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aerodrome Group worth?
The market values Aerodrome Group at about 115M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 0.6700 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3686 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARDM?
Our models span a range for Aerodrome Group: cautious scenario 0.2764 ILS, base 0.3686 ILS, optimistic 0.4607 ILS per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 0.6700 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aerodrome Group (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −61.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARDM from its 52-week high?
Aerodrome Group trades at 0.6700 ILS, about 87% below its 52-week high of 4.96 ILS and 165% above the low of 0.2530 ILS (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3686 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aerodrome Group?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aerodrome Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 0.6700 ILS, calculated fair value 0.3686 ILS (−45%), Quality Score 34/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Aerodrome Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 0.6700 ILS. Our estimate is 0.3686 ILS, about 45% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aerodrome Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4607 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Aerodrome Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
The market capitalisation of Aerodrome Group is 115M ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aerodrome Group is 17.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
Earnings per share at Aerodrome Group are −0.3700 ILS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aerodrome Group is −61.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aerodrome Group is −35.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
The operating margin of Aerodrome Group is −252% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aerodrome Group (ARDM)?
Revenue at Aerodrome Group is growing −51.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aerodrome Group (ARDM) generate?
The free cash flow of Aerodrome Group is −3.7M ILS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aerodrome Group (ARDM) carry?
The net debt of Aerodrome Group is 480K ILS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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