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Arena REIT (ARF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$1.3B

PriceA$3.19
Fair ValueA$2.84
Upside-11.0%
Quality83/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$2.17 – A$4.26

Analysis

Arena REIT (ARF) currently trades at A$3.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.84 — implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 83/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Arena REIT is an ASX200 listed property group that develops, owns and manages social infrastructure properties across Australia. Our current portfolio of social infrastructure properties is leased to a diversified tenant base in the growing childcare and healthcare sectors. Arena REIT was established on August 27, 2003 and incorporated in Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.