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Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $15.2B

LA Lamar Advertising Company logo Lamar Advertising Company LAMR · US
Price$160.93
Fair Value$102.70
Upside-36.2%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 24.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
4.19% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range $56.62 – $171.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($56.62 to $171.87). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$164.33 $68.22 Fair Value $102.70 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $68.22 – $164.33 · fair‑value band $56.62 – $171.87 · the $160.93 price screens above the $102.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) currently trades at $160.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $102.70, implying the stock looks roughly 36.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Lamar Advertising Company generated revenue of $2.3B at a net margin of 24.0%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 55.2%. Net debt stands at $6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $56.62 (bear case) to $171.87 (bull case); at $160.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -36%, LAMR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $61.87 $108.96 $176.38 80
Residual Income $39.40 $47.34 $236.88 76
Rev-Margin DCF $43.07 $86.89 $137.36 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $60.19 $113.33 $194.31 38
5Y Revenue Exit $43.07 $86.39 $141.06 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $85.24 $165.19 $258.39 41
10Y Revenue Exit $46.16 $87.15 $141.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $75.25 $141.83 $230.65 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $69.21 $143.91 $228.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage $69.21 $114.16 $151.04 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $85.99 $114.66 $143.32 58
P/B Multiple $17.43 $23.24 $29.05 55
EV/EBIT $96.66 $140.77 $184.87 53
EV/EBITDA $115.30 $165.62 $215.94 54
EV/Revenue $37.32 $68.59 $99.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.81 $7.79 $11.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $61.87 $108.96 $176.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.07 $86.89 $137.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $39.40 $47.34 $236.88 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($114.66) versus Asset-Based ($7.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 24.0%
Return on equity 55.2%
Free cash flow $736M FY2025
P/E ratio 27.6
More key figures
Operating margin 25.3%
EPS (TTM) $5.42
Dividend yield 4.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.1%
Net debt $6.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lamar Advertising Company is one of the largest outdoor advertising companies in North America, with over 362,000 displays across the United States and Canada. Lamar offers advertisers a variety of billboards, interstate logo, transit and airport advertising formats, helping both local businesses and national brands reach broad audiences every day.

Full company description

Lamar Advertising Company is one of the largest outdoor advertising companies in North America, with over 362,000 displays across the United States and Canada. Lamar offers advertisers a variety of billboards, interstate logo, transit and airport advertising formats, helping both local businesses and national brands reach broad audiences every day. In addition to its more traditional out-of-home inventory, Lamar is proud to offer its customers the largest network of digital billboards in the United States with over 5,400 displays. Lamar Advertising Company was founded and incorporated in 1902 in Delaware and is based in Baton Rouge, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lamar Advertising Company reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was $587M in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.3B
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+10.9%
Revenue +6.1%/yr
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $2.0B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.2B
FY25 $2.3B
Net income +10.9%/yr
FY21 $388M
FY22 $439M
FY23 $496M
FY24 $362M
FY25 $587M

LAMR screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Equinix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lamar Advertising Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LAMR

Peer Group

REIT - Specialty · 34 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 3.13× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 15.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.64× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 20.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.20× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 1
FUTURE 22 · sector 25
PAST 100 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 84 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Equinix, Inc EQIX $1,009 $232.70 -77%
American Tower Corporation AMT $164.65 $92.31 -44%
Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR $199.08 $63.31 -68%
Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM $128.31 $40.43 -68%
Crown Castle Inc CCI $74.90 $37.67 -50%
SBA Communications Corporation SBAC $173.57 $143.83 -17%
Weyerhaeuser Company WY $23.94 $8.62 -64%
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI $45.17 $36.60 -19%
Rayonier Inc RYN $21.58 $9.96 -54%
OUTFRONT Media Inc OUT $32.03 $12.00 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $102.70 versus a price of $160.93, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LAMR?
Our model-based fair value for Lamar Advertising Company is $102.70 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $160.93.
What is the quality score of LAMR?
Lamar Advertising Company has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR)?
Lamar Advertising Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LAMR?
The net profit margin of Lamar Advertising Company is about 24.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lamar Advertising Company pay a dividend?
Lamar Advertising Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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