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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc (GLPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $12.6B

GA Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc logo Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI · US
Price$44.14
Fair Value$36.60
Upside-17.1%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 55.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
6.89% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $19.50 – $55.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($19.50 to $55.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$48.18 $31.79 Fair Value $36.60 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $31.79 – $48.18 · fair‑value band $19.50 – $55.37 · the $44.14 price screens above the $36.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc (GLPI) currently trades at $44.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.60, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 55.1%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. Net debt stands at $7.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.50 (bear case) to $55.37 (bull case); at $44.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -17%, GLPI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $11.57 $36.65 $78.02 80
Residual Income $18.59 $22.61 $49.08 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.37 $25.35 $49.54 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.58 $38.18 $82.79 38
5Y Revenue Exit $5.37 $25.60 $52.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $28.22 $71.44 $124.97 41
10Y Revenue Exit $6.27 $25.96 $54.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $22.17 $59.03 $113.91 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.27 $58.77 $93.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage $28.27 $49.56 $61.68 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $27.45 $36.60 $45.75 58
P/B Multiple $24.50 $32.67 $40.84 55
EV/EBIT $45.34 $68.67 $92.00 53
EV/EBITDA $42.18 $64.45 $86.72 54
EV/Revenue $2.95 $14.77 $26.60 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.17 $10.94 $16.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.57 $36.65 $78.02 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.37 $25.35 $49.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.59 $22.61 $49.08 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($49.56) versus Asset-Based ($10.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.3%
Net margin 55.1%
Return on equity 19.1%
Free cash flow $825M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.1
More key figures
Operating margin 79.4%
EPS (TTM) $3.17
Dividend yield 6.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.4%
Net debt $7.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the …

Full company description

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. is engaged in the business of acquiring, financing, and owning real estate property to be leased to gaming operators in triple-net lease arrangements, pursuant to which the tenant is responsible for all facility maintenance, insurance required in connection with the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties, taxes levied on or with respect to the leased properties and all utilities and other services necessary or appropriate for the leased properties and the business conducted on the leased properties. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. was established on February 13th, 2013, incorporated in 2013 in Pennsylvania in and is based in Wyomissing, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $825M in FY2025, compounding +11.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.6B
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+14.8%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.6B
Net income +11.5%/yr
FY21 $534M
FY22 $685M
FY23 $734M
FY24 $785M
FY25 $825M

GLPI screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Equinix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLPI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Specialty · 34 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 55% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 79% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.56× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 8.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 1
FUTURE 32 · sector 25
PAST 76 · sector 28
HEALTH 22 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 99

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Equinix, Inc EQIX $1,009 $232.70 -77%
American Tower Corporation AMT $164.65 $92.31 -44%
Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR $199.08 $63.31 -68%
Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM $128.31 $40.43 -68%
Crown Castle Inc CCI $74.90 $37.67 -50%
SBA Communications Corporation SBAC $173.57 $143.83 -17%
Weyerhaeuser Company WY $23.94 $8.62 -64%
Lamar Advertising Company LAMR $159.46 $102.70 -36%
Rayonier Inc RYN $21.58 $9.96 -54%
OUTFRONT Media Inc OUT $32.03 $12.00 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc (GLPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.60 versus a price of $44.14, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLPI?
Our model-based fair value for Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc is $36.60 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $44.14.
What is the quality score of GLPI?
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc (GLPI)?
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLPI?
The net profit margin of Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc is about 55.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc pay a dividend?
Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.89% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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