Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $18.2B
Weyerhaeuser Company
WY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +13.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.79 – $36.49 · fair‑value band $5.73 – $9.55 · the $25.58 price screens above the $8.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) currently trades at $25.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.62, implying the stock looks roughly 66.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Weyerhaeuser Company generated revenue of $6.9B at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at $5.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.73 (bear case) to $9.55 (bull case); at $25.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -66%, WY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($9.62) versus DCF Models ($4.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada.
Full company description
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900. Today the firm owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. Weyerhaeuser is also one of the largest manufacturers of wood products in North America and operates additional business lines around product distribution, climate solutions, real estate, energy and natural resources, among others. In 2025, the company generated 6.9 billion US dollars in net sales and employed approximately 9,500 people who serve customers worldwide. Operated as a real estate investment trust, Weyerhaeuser's common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WY. Weyerhaeuser Company was incorporated in 1900 in Washington and is based in Seattle, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Weyerhaeuser Company reported revenue of $6.9B in FY2025 versus $10.2B in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $324M in FY2025, compounding −40.6%/yr from FY2021.
WY screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Equinix, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Weyerhaeuser Co (WY) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Resilient EBITDA and Strategic Growth ...
- Weyerhaeuser raises 2026 Strategic Land Solutions adjusted EBITDA guidance to about $450M while targeting Monticello start-up in H1 2027
- Weyerhaeuser Q2 Earnings & Sales Top, Adjusted EBITDA Down Y/Y
- Compared to Estimates, Weyerhaeuser (WY) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
Peer Group
REIT - Specialty · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equinix, Inc EQIX | $1,009 | $232.70 | -77% |
| American Tower Corporation AMT | $164.65 | $92.31 | -44% |
| Digital Realty Trust, Inc DLR | $199.08 | $63.31 | -68% |
| Iron Mountain Incorporated IRM | $128.31 | $40.43 | -68% |
| Crown Castle Inc CCI | $74.90 | $37.67 | -50% |
| SBA Communications Corporation SBAC | $173.57 | $143.83 | -17% |
| Lamar Advertising Company LAMR | $159.46 | $102.70 | -36% |
| Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc GLPI | $45.17 | $36.60 | -19% |
| Rayonier Inc RYN | $21.58 | $9.96 | -54% |
| OUTFRONT Media Inc OUT | $32.03 | $12.00 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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