Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Argo Pantes Tbk is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 450.00 IDR – 1,935 IDR · fair‑value band 129.63 IDR – 205.34 IDR · the 1,165 IDR price screens above the 158.43 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
PT Argo Pantes Tbk provides integrated logistics solutions and textile products in Indonesia. It operates in two segments, Textile industry and Rent.
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PT Argo Pantes Tbk provides integrated logistics solutions and textile products in Indonesia. It operates in two segments, Textile industry and Rent. The company is involved in warehousing and storage, cold storage, bounded warehousing, cargo handling, transportation management, supporting transportation, and real estate owned/rented activities, as well as provides leasable ancillary facilities, including land, buildings, parking areas, and office spaces. It also offers yarns and fabrics. PT Argo Pantes Tbk was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO) currently trades at 1,165 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 158.43 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 635.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 372.65 IDR per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 1,165 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 40.75 IDR, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 129.63 IDR (bear) to 205.34 IDR (bull), the price of 1,165 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Argo Pantes Tbk reported revenue of 112B IDR in FY2025 versus 70.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 71.2B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.7T IDR (≈ $370M) · P/E ratio 51.9 · P/S ratio 32.9 · EPS (TTM) 22.43 IDR · Net margin 63.4% · Return on equity 45.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin −1.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −86%, ARGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (40.75 IDR to 493.39 IDR). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Bear 129.63 IDRFair Value 158.43 IDRBull 205.34 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (17.25 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
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Share of sales kept as operating profit (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−86.4% (2020) → −15.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, ten years of growth, then 2 % a year. Compared with the average analyst sales forecast (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.7%
How much the company would have to grow every year for ten years to justify the current price.
Analysts expect (Ø )
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
🔴 A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 330 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)52% · Top 25%
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)70% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.58× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)51.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B16.44× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)28.51× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA93.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 158.43 IDR versus a price of 1,165 IDR, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARGO?
Our model-based fair value for Argo Pantes Tbk is 158.43 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,165 IDR.
What is the quality score of ARGO?
Argo Pantes Tbk has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 158.43 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 129.63 IDR, optimistic scenario 205.34 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Argo Pantes Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 158.43 IDR, about −86% upside versus a price of 1,165 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 129.63 IDR, optimistic scenario 205.34 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Argo Pantes Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 112B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Argo Pantes Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +35.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 13.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARGO use?
Our models discount Argo Pantes Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Argo Pantes Tbk that is +35.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Argo Pantes Tbk grew +14.6 % a year. The price currently implies +35.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Argo Pantes Tbk (+35.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.39 %: that much free cash flow Argo Pantes Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Argo Pantes Tbk it is 158.43 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 1,165 IDR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Argo Pantes Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ARGO trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,165 IDR, fair value 158.43 IDR, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARGO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,165 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (158.43 IDR). For Argo Pantes Tbk the two are 1,007 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Argo Pantes Tbk worth?
The market values Argo Pantes Tbk at about 3.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 1,165 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 158.43 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARGO?
Our models span a range for Argo Pantes Tbk: cautious scenario 129.63 IDR, base 158.43 IDR, optimistic 205.34 IDR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 1,165 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARGO?
Argo Pantes Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 51.9 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 158.43 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 16.4, P/S 28.5, EV/EBITDA 93.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Argo Pantes Tbk (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 51.6%, debt of 2.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ARGO from its 52-week high?
Argo Pantes Tbk trades at 1,165 IDR, about 45% below its 52-week high of 2,100 IDR and 94% above the low of 600.00 IDR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 158.43 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Argo Pantes Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Argo Pantes Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 1,165 IDR, calculated fair value 158.43 IDR (−86%), Quality Score 42/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARGO calculated?
We run Argo Pantes Tbk through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 158.43 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Argo Pantes Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Argo Pantes Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (205.34 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Argo Pantes Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
The market capitalisation of Argo Pantes Tbk is 3.7T IDR (≈ $370M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Argo Pantes Tbk is 32.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Earnings per share at Argo Pantes Tbk are 22.43 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 51.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
The net margin of Argo Pantes Tbk is 63.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Argo Pantes Tbk is 45.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Argo Pantes Tbk is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
The operating margin of Argo Pantes Tbk is −1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Revenue at Argo Pantes Tbk is growing +16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO)?
Earnings per share at Argo Pantes Tbk are growing +10.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Argo Pantes Tbk (ARGO) carry?
The net debt of Argo Pantes Tbk is 604B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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