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Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ashtrom Group Ltd ILS 32.51, price ILS 56.75, upside -42.7%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · Il · ISIN IL0011323156

AG Some data Sep 24, 2026

Ashtrom Group Ltd

ASHG · TA

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 32.51 ILA · Strongly overvalued (−43%)
!Quality 24/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 1 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

87.68 ILA 38.24 ILA Fair Value 32.51 ILA May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 38.24 ILA – 87.68 ILA · fair‑value band 24.50 ILA – 41.76 ILA · the 56.75 ILA price screens above the 32.51 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ashtrom Group Ltd. operates as a construction and property company in Israel and internationally.

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Ashtrom Group Ltd. operates as a construction and property company in Israel and internationally. The company also constructs various projects, comprising infrastructures and mega-projects, residential and public buildings, hotels, office blocks, retail, logistic and industrial facilities, industrial building plants, and groundwork and underground infrastructures, as well as educational, community, and security institutions. It also produces, markets, and sells concrete and mortar products, white autoclaved blocks, gypsum interlocking blocks, waterproofing and insulation systems, adhesives, coatings, cladding materials, and mined and quarried materials for the building industries and the infrastructures sector. In addition, the company operates concession projects, such as public infrastructure, construction, and transport projects; develops land; initiates, builds, and sells housing developments; and initiates, procures, owns, and manages offices and businesses, commerce, industrial and logistics facilities, and hotels, as well as manages and invests in properties. Further, the company operates as an independent power producer. Ashtrom Group Ltd. was founded in 1963 and is based in Bnei Brak, Israel. Ashtrom Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of Unedco United Engineering and Development Company Ltd.

Stock analysis

Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG) currently trades at 56.75 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.51 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 74.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 41.26 ILA per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the 56.75 ILA price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 9.14 ILA, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 24.50 ILA (bear) to 41.76 ILA (bull), the price of 56.75 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Ashtrom Group Ltd reported revenue of 4.7B ILS in FY2025 versus 4.5B ILS in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 271M ILS in FY2025, compounding −31.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 7.2B ILA · P/E ratio 27.4 · P/S ratio 1.59 · EPS (TTM) 2.07 ILA · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −43%, ASHG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 24.50 ILA Fair Value 32.51 ILA Bull 41.76 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8581 ILS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 37.40 ILA 37.47 ILA 34.91 ILA 76
Owner Earnings n/a 11.08 ILA 51.34 ILA 73
Gordon GGM 6.30 ILA 10.36 ILA 14.92 ILA 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings n/a 11.08 ILA 51.34 ILA 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 16.50 ILA 38.25 ILA 49.13 ILA 65
PEG = 1.0 6.47 ILA 9.25 ILA 12.02 ILA 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.30 ILA 10.36 ILA 14.92 ILA 68
DDM Multi-Stage 6.30 ILA 9.14 ILA 12.15 ILA 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 38.22 ILA 50.96 ILA 63.70 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 30.94 ILA 41.26 ILA 51.57 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 30.94 ILA 41.26 ILA 51.57 ILA 55
EV/EBIT n/a n/a 8.73 ILA 61
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a 5.79 ILA 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 24.86 ILA 33.32 ILA 49.73 ILA 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 37.40 ILA 37.47 ILA 34.91 ILA 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 28.82 ILA 41.17 ILA 53.52 ILA 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 25
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

ASHG screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −43% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.99× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 22.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)1 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)32 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.10 HK$147.78 +35%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.62 HK$74.05 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 68,200 VND 112,796 VND +65%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹675.00 ₹167.21 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,163 ₹275.95 −76%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,075 IDR 1,325 IDR −74%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.64 ¥14.10 +150%

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Ashtrom Group Ltd · Fair Value
32.51 ILA −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ashtrom Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASHG

Frequently asked questions

Is Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.51 ILA versus a price of 56.75 ILA, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASHG?
Our model-based fair value for Ashtrom Group Ltd is 32.51 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 56.75 ILA.
What is the quality score of ASHG?
Ashtrom Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 32.51 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 24.50 ILA, optimistic scenario 41.76 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashtrom Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 32.51 ILA, about −43% upside versus a price of 56.75 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 24.50 ILA, optimistic scenario 41.76 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Ashtrom Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ashtrom Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Ashtrom Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashtrom Group Ltd it is 32.51 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 56.75 ILA. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashtrom Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ASHG trades above its calculated fair value: price 56.75 ILA, fair value 32.51 ILA, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASHG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (56.75 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (32.51 ILA). For Ashtrom Group Ltd the two are 24.24 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashtrom Group Ltd worth?
The market values Ashtrom Group Ltd at about 7.2B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 56.75 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 32.51 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASHG?
Our models span a range for Ashtrom Group Ltd: cautious scenario 24.50 ILA, base 32.51 ILA, optimistic 41.76 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 56.75 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASHG?
Ashtrom Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 32.51 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 22.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashtrom Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 1.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASHG from its 52-week high?
Ashtrom Group Ltd trades at 56.75 ILA, about 30% below its 52-week high of 81.18 ILA and 4% above the low of 54.39 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 32.51 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashtrom Group Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashtrom Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 56.75 ILA, calculated fair value 32.51 ILA (−43%), Quality Score 24/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASHG calculated?
We run Ashtrom Group Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 32.51 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashtrom Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 56.75 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 32.51 ILA, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashtrom Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.76 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG) come from?
Earnings per share at Ashtrom Group Ltd grew +0.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.3 %, EBIT margin +0.1 %, tax rate +3.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ashtrom Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The market capitalisation of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 7.2B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 1.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Earnings per share at Ashtrom Group Ltd are 2.07 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The dividend yield of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 1.6% (payout 43.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The net margin of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
The operating margin of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Revenue at Ashtrom Group Ltd is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG)?
Earnings per share at Ashtrom Group Ltd are growing +275% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG) generate?
The free cash flow of Ashtrom Group Ltd is −566M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ashtrom Group Ltd (ASHG) carry?
The net debt of Ashtrom Group Ltd is 14.0B ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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