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Jardine Matheson Holdings (J36) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap $18.5B

JM Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 · SG
Price$66.41
Fair Value$64.04
Upside-3.6%
Quality52/100
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.83% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Narrow moat 33/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $48.03 – $80.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +8.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $48.03 (bear) to $80.05 (bull), base $64.04. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$80.63 $31.41 Fair Value $64.04 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $31.41 – $80.63 · fair‑value band $48.03 – $80.05 · the $66.41 price screens above the $64.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Jardine Matheson Holdings (J36) currently trades at $66.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $64.04, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jardine Matheson Holdings generated revenue of $34.2B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at $6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $48.03 (bear case) to $80.05 (bull case); at $66.41, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -4%, J36 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $131.26 $181.13 $266.43 80
Residual Income $73.11 $72.12 $64.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF $106.47 $158.17 $221.87 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $125.17 $176.55 $271.70 38
Owner Earnings $58.89 $84.24 $131.19 31
5Y Revenue Exit $106.47 $155.10 $225.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $144.66 $221.22 $322.64 41
5Y P/E Exit $74.45 $99.66 $130.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit $109.91 $146.84 $186.16 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $135.98 $187.73 $243.06 37
10Y P/E Exit $93.36 $112.56 $130.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.62 $31.31 $35.22 54
EPV $77.92 $91.85 $104.04 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.51 $75.34 $94.18 63
P/S Multiple $48.03 $64.04 $80.05 58
P/B Multiple $48.03 $64.04 $80.05 55
EV/EBIT $156.84 $211.01 $265.18 53
EV/EBITDA $184.29 $247.62 $310.94 54
EV/Revenue $103.87 $150.82 $197.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $49.31 $66.07 $98.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $131.26 $181.13 $266.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF $106.47 $158.17 $221.87 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $73.11 $72.12 $64.20 76
ROIC Compounder $77.92 $91.85 $105.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $39.98 $57.11 $74.24 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($158.17) versus Earnings-Based ($31.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $34.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.4%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow $4.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) $3.77
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +32.8%
Net debt $6.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited operates in motor vehicles and related operations, property investment and development, health and beauty, home furnishings, engineering and construction, and transport businesses in Indonesia, Hong Kong, Macau, Other Southeast Asia, Vietnam, Mainland China, and Rest of the world.

Full company description

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited operates in motor vehicles and related operations, property investment and development, health and beauty, home furnishings, engineering and construction, and transport businesses in Indonesia, Hong Kong, Macau, Other Southeast Asia, Vietnam, Mainland China, and Rest of the world. It is also involved in providing automotive, financial, transport, and information technology services; heavy equipment distribution, mining contracting and operations; developing, owning, and managing premium and ultra-premium mixed-use and commercial real estate. The company also operates Mannings, Guardian, 7-11, Wellcome, and IKEA retailing businesses; supermarket, health and beauty, convenience, food, home furnishings, and restaurants retails; and invests, manages, and develops property. In addition, it engages in agribusiness business; providing construction and foundation services for building, civil and maritime works; motorcycles and rendering of aftersales services; supplying, installing, and servicing engineering equipment. Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited was founded in 1832 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jardine Matheson Holdings reported revenue of $34.2B in FY2025 versus $35.9B in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$34.2B
Latest YoY
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
−1.2%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 $35.9B
FY22 $37.7B
FY23 $36.0B
FY24 $35.8B
FY25 $34.2B
Net income −12.4%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $354M
FY23 $686M
FY24 −$468M
FY25 $1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jardine Matheson Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/J36

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 371 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 / 15
FUTURE 0 / 15
PAST 24 / 19
HEALTH 82 / 89
DIVIDEND 77 / 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jardine Matheson Holdings (J36) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $64.04 versus a price of $66.41, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of J36?
Our model-based fair value for Jardine Matheson Holdings is $64.04 (as of Jul 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $66.41.
What is the quality score of J36?
Jardine Matheson Holdings has a Quality Score of 52/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Jardine Matheson Holdings (J36)?
Jardine Matheson Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $34.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of J36?
The net profit margin of Jardine Matheson Holdings is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jardine Matheson Holdings pay a dividend?
Jardine Matheson Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.83% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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