AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AdvanSix Inc stock $17.84, price $16.82, upside +6.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.04 – $51.42 · fair‑value band $13.31 – $23.88 · the $16.82 price screens below the $17.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
Follow AdvanSix in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether AdvanSix is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
AdvanSix Inc., integrated chemistry company, engages in the manufacture and sale of polymer resins in the United States and internationally. The company offers Nylon 6, a polymer resin, which is a synthetic material used to produce fibers, filaments, engineered plastics, and films.
Show moreShow less
It also provides caprolactam to manufacture polymer resins; ammonium sulfate fertilizers to distributors, farm cooperatives, and retailers; and acetone that are used in the production of adhesives, paints, coatings, solvents, herbicides, and resins.
In addition, the company offers intermediate chemicals, including phenol, alpha-methylstyrene, cyclohexanone, oximes, cyclohexanol, and alkyl and specialty amines; and cyclohexanol, sulfuric acid, ammonia, and carbon dioxide, as well as automotive components, water treatment, and pharmaceutical intermediates.
It offers its products under the Aegis, Sulf-N, Nadone, Naxol, and EZ-Blox under brand names. The company sells its products directly and through distributors. AdvanSix Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) currently trades at $16.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.84, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.7%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $31.03 per share, and 10 of the 20 models we run sit above the $16.82 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.21, and 10 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $13.31 (bear) to $23.88 (bull), the price of $16.82 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AdvanSix Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $49.3M in FY2025, compounding −22.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $464M Small · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) $−0.8400 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 6%, ASIX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$13.31Fair Value $17.84Bull$23.88
Price $16.82 · Upside +6.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.0% vs −1.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+49.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 337 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+6.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AdvanSix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASIX
Frequently asked questions
Is AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.84 versus a price of $16.82, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ASIX?
Our model-based fair value for AdvanSix Inc is $17.84 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.82.
What is the quality score of ASIX?
AdvanSix Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.84 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.31, optimistic scenario $23.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AdvanSix Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.84, about +6% upside versus a price of $16.82 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $13.31, optimistic scenario $23.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
AdvanSix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does AdvanSix Inc pay a dividend?
AdvanSix Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 3.80% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) and when is the ex-dividend date?
AdvanSix Inc pays a dividend of $0.64 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 18, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 40.2% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 35.1%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.37 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AdvanSix Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +49.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASIX use?
Our models discount AdvanSix Inc at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AdvanSix Inc that is +49.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AdvanSix Inc grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +49.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AdvanSix Inc (+49.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.38 %: that much free cash flow AdvanSix Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AdvanSix Inc it is $17.84 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $16.82. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is AdvanSix Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, ASIX trades below its calculated fair value: price $16.82, fair value $17.84, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASIX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.84). For AdvanSix Inc the two are $1.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AdvanSix Inc worth?
The market values AdvanSix Inc at about $464M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $16.82; our models calculate a fair value of $17.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASIX?
Our models span a range for AdvanSix Inc: cautious scenario $13.31, base $17.84, optimistic $23.88 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $16.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
Balance-sheet figures for AdvanSix Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −2.8%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASIX from its 52-week high?
AdvanSix Inc trades at $16.82, about 35% below its 52-week high of $25.98 and 20% above the low of $14.04 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AdvanSix Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AdvanSix Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $16.82, calculated fair value $17.84 (+6%), Quality Score 50/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASIX calculated?
We run AdvanSix Inc through 20 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $17.84 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AdvanSix Inc currently trades 6% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $16.82. Our model-based fair value is $17.84, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AdvanSix Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) come from?
Earnings per share at AdvanSix Inc grew −1.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.8 %, EBIT margin −4.5 %, tax rate +3.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AdvanSix Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The market capitalisation of AdvanSix Inc is $464M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AdvanSix Inc is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
Earnings per share at AdvanSix Inc are $−0.8400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The dividend yield of AdvanSix Inc is 3.8% (payout 40.2%, on adjusted earnings, reported 35.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The net margin of AdvanSix Inc is −1.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AdvanSix Inc is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AdvanSix Inc is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
The operating margin of AdvanSix Inc is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
Revenue at AdvanSix Inc is growing +15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
Earnings per share at AdvanSix Inc are growing −89.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) carry?
The net debt of AdvanSix Inc is $363M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 56.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch AdvanSix Inc in the live analysis
One click puts AdvanSix Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 5, 2026