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AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $540M

AI AdvanSix Inc logo AdvanSix Inc ASIX · US
Price$16.48
Fair Value$21.94
Upside+33.1%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.08% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range $16.61 – $21.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −19.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from $16.61 (bear) to $21.94 (bull), base $21.94. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$51.42 $14.04 Fair Value $21.94 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.04 – $51.42 · fair‑value band $16.61 – $21.94 · the $16.48 price screens below the $21.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) currently trades at $16.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.94, implying the stock looks roughly 33.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AdvanSix Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at $363M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.61 (bear case) to $21.94 (bull case); at $16.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 33%, ASIX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $22.46 $22.68 $21.41 76
ROIC Compounder $10.79 $13.25 $15.30 72
Gordon GGM $4.95 $5.34 $5.91 70
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $5.42 $13.97 $26.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.42 $27.73 $46.82 41
5Y P/E Exit $4.88 $13.05 $22.82 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1500 $5.83 $12.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.11 $13.73 $23.39 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.3600 $5.30 $10.21 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.43 $16.52 $19.03 54
EPV $10.79 $13.25 $15.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.95 $5.34 $5.91 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.95 $5.98 $7.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.31 $31.08 $38.85 63
P/S Multiple $23.31 $31.08 $38.85 58
P/B Multiple $23.31 $31.08 $38.85 55
EV/EBIT $19.05 $27.82 $36.58 53
EV/EBITDA $33.72 $47.38 $61.04 54
EV/Revenue $15.55 $25.31 $35.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.12 $20.26 $30.24 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.46 $22.68 $21.41 76
ROIC Compounder $10.79 $13.25 $15.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.61 $23.72 $30.84 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($31.08) versus Dividend Discount ($5.34). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.0%
Net margin 0.7%
Return on equity 1.3%
Free cash flow $6.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 55.6
More key figures
Operating margin -4.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.3600
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.6%
Net debt $363M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AdvanSix Inc., integrated chemistry company, engages in the manufacture and sale of polymer resins in the United States and internationally. The company offers Nylon 6, a polymer resin, which is a synthetic material used to produce fibers, filaments, engineered plastics, and films.

Full company description

AdvanSix Inc., integrated chemistry company, engages in the manufacture and sale of polymer resins in the United States and internationally. The company offers Nylon 6, a polymer resin, which is a synthetic material used to produce fibers, filaments, engineered plastics, and films. It also provides caprolactam to manufacture polymer resins; ammonium sulfate fertilizers to distributors, farm cooperatives, and retailers; and acetone that are used in the production of adhesives, paints, coatings, solvents, herbicides, and resins. In addition, the company offers intermediate chemicals, including phenol, alpha-methylstyrene, cyclohexanone, oximes, cyclohexanol, and alkyl and specialty amines; and cyclohexanol, sulfuric acid, ammonia, and carbon dioxide, as well as automotive components, water treatment, and pharmaceutical intermediates. It offers its products under the Aegis, Sulf-N, Nadone, Naxol, and EZ-Blox under brand names. The company sells its products directly and through distributors. AdvanSix Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AdvanSix Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $49.3M in FY2025, compounding −22.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
−1.2%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 $1.7B
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income −22.9%/yr
FY21 $140M
FY22 $172M
FY23 $54.6M
FY24 $44.1M
FY25 $49.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AdvanSix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASIX

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +33% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 55.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 84.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 77 · sector 0
FUTURE 35 · sector 20
PAST 5 · sector 19
HEALTH 87 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 62 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AdvanSix Inc (ASIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.94 versus a price of $16.48, about +33% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASIX?
Our model-based fair value for AdvanSix Inc is $21.94 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.48.
What is the quality score of ASIX?
AdvanSix Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AdvanSix Inc (ASIX)?
AdvanSix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ASIX?
The net profit margin of AdvanSix Inc is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AdvanSix Inc pay a dividend?
AdvanSix Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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