PT Andalan Sakti Primaindo Tbk (ASPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 366B IDR
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −21.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (73.48 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (36.74 IDR to 73.48 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 1,225 IDR · fair‑value band 36.74 IDR – 73.48 IDR · the 410.00 IDR price screens above the 49.23 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
PT Andalan Sakti Primaindo Tbk (ASPI) currently trades at 410.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.23 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 4.4B IDR. It earns a return on equity of -17.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 159M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 36.74 IDR (bear case) to 73.48 IDR (bull case); at 410.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 242% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at -88%, ASPI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Andalan Sakti Primaindo Tbk engages in the real estate business in Indonesia. The company develops and sells houses, shop houses, apartments, and other related property and land. It also leases real estate properties; offers real estate services; and act as an agent or intermediary in the sale or purchase of real estate.
Full company description
PT Andalan Sakti Primaindo Tbk engages in the real estate business in Indonesia. The company develops and sells houses, shop houses, apartments, and other related property and land. It also leases real estate properties; offers real estate services; and act as an agent or intermediary in the sale or purchase of real estate. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Andalan Sakti Primaindo Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Andalan Sakti Inti.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Andalan Sakti Primaindo Tbk reported revenue of 4.4B IDR in FY2025 versus 6.1B IDR in FY2021, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −11.5B IDR in FY2025.
ASPI screens 88% overvalued. Compare with D.R. Horton, Inc →
Peer Group
Residential Construction · 65 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.R. Horton, Inc DHI | $145.82 | $213.23 | +46% |
| PulteGroup, Inc PHM | $129.16 | $190.17 | +47% |
| Lennar Corporation LEN | $85.20 | $143.01 | +68% |
| NVR, Inc NVR | $6,294 | $7,821 | +24% |
| Toll Brothers, Inc TOL | $148.53 | $221.32 | +49% |
| Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC | $72.45 | $136.88 | +89% |
| Installed Building Products, Inc IBP | $242.95 | $209.51 | -14% |
| Meritage Homes Corporation MTH | $72.89 | $102.94 | +41% |
| Champion Homes, Inc SKY | $93.88 | $75.12 | -20% |
| Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO | $598.38 | $421.10 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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