ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of ASP Isotopes Inc. $0.60, price $2.93, upside -79.4%, quality 17 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range $0.3200 – $14.05 · fair‑value band $0.3995 – $0.7565 · the $2.93 price screens above the $0.6035 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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ASP Isotopes Inc., a development stage advanced materials company, engages in the production, distribution, marketing, and sale of isotopes in South Africa,Hong Kong, and United States. It operates in two segments, Nuclear Fuels, and Specialist Isotopes and Related Services.
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ASP Isotopes Inc., a development stage advanced materials company, engages in the production, distribution, marketing, and sale of isotopes in South Africa,Hong Kong, and United States. It operates in two segments, Nuclear Fuels, and Specialist Isotopes and Related Services. The Nuclear Fuels segment focuses on the research and development of technologies and methods used to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) and Lithium-6 for the advanced nuclear fuels target end market. Its Specialist Isotopes and Related Services segment engages in the research and development of technologies and methods used to separate high-value, low-volume isotopes, such as C-14, Mo-100 and Si-28, for target end markets, including pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals, nuclear medical imaging, and semiconductors; provision of related services; and operation of PET labs. The company offers the Aerodynamic Separation Process (ASP) technology, which separates gas species and isotopes in a volatile state; and the Quantum Enrichment (QE) technology, which separates isotopes. It also produces and commercializes Molybdenum-100, Molybdenum-98, and Ytterbium-176 for the nuclear medical industry. In addition, the company develops Zinc-68, Nickel-64, and Xenon-129/136 for the nuclear medical industry; Lithium-7, Uranium-235, and Chlorine-37 for the energy industry; and Germanium-70/72/74 for semiconductor markets. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Dallas, Texas.
Stock analysis
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock (ASPI) currently trades at $2.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6035, implying the stock looks roughly 384.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.3995 (bear) to $0.7565 (bull), the price of $2.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $23.8M in FY2025 versus $22.6M in FY2019, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$175M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $841M · P/S ratio 31.2 · EPS (TTM) $−2.21 · Return on equity −103% · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.9% · Operating margin −595% · Revenue (TTM) $26.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +279%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −79%, ASPI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.3995Fair Value $0.6035Bull $0.7565
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+475.5%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
’19
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−45.3% (2019) → −239.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 347 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−79.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth279.3% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.12× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)31.23× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 33
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASPI
Frequently asked questions
Is ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6035 versus a price of $2.93, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASPI?
Our model-based fair value for ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is $0.6035 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.93.
What is the quality score of ASPI?
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6035 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3995, optimistic scenario $0.7565. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6035, about −79% upside versus a price of $2.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3995, optimistic scenario $0.7565. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock it is $0.6035 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $2.93. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, ASPI trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.93, fair value $0.6035, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASPI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6035). For ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock the two are $2.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock at about $841M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $2.93; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6035 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASPI?
Our models span a range for ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $0.3995, base $0.6035, optimistic $0.7565 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $2.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
Balance-sheet figures for ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −103.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 17/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASPI from its 52-week high?
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock trades at $2.93, about 79% below its 52-week high of $14.05 and at the low of $2.93 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6035 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $2.93, calculated fair value $0.6035 (−79%), Quality Score 17/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASPI calculated?
We run ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6035, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $2.93. Our model-based fair value is $0.6035, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7565). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.3995 to $0.7565) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock
How large is the market capitalisation of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
The market capitalisation of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is $841M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is 31.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
Earnings per share at ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock are $−2.21. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is −103% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is −33.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
The operating margin of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is −595% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI)?
Revenue at ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is growing +279% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) generate?
The free cash flow of ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock is −$47.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) hold?
ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $69.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026