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PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk stock IDR 65, price IDR 158, that is 58.9% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical ID

PA PT Asia Pramulia Tbk logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

PT Asia Pramulia Tbk

ASPR · JK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 59% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +63% vs. a year ago.
Quality 40/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +19.5 %/yr in IDR)
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)
0.4% dividend yield · Token dividend
Fair value 64.98 IDR · Strongly overvalued
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 34/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

533.19 IDR 88.70 IDR Fair Value 64.98 IDR Jul 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range 88.70 IDR – 533.19 IDR · fair‑value band 45.49 IDR – 84.48 IDR · the 158.00 IDR price screens above the 64.98 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Asia Pramulia Tbk engages in the manufacturing of plastic packaging.

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The company offers horeka packaging, oil packaging, personal care packaging, chemical and lubricant packaging, pet cans, food and biscuit packaging, water gallon and AMDK packaging, paint packaging, and bottle and jar caps, as well as aluminium easy open ends and egg trays.

PT Asia Pramulia Tbk was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) currently trades at 158.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 64.98 IDR, 59% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 96.77 IDR per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the 158.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 43.16 IDR, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 45.49 IDR (bear) to 84.48 IDR (bull), the price of 158.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

PT Asia Pramulia Tbk reported revenue of 250B IDR in FY2025 versus 232B IDR in FY2023, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 8.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap 428B IDR (≈ $23.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.31 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% (3-year average) · Operating margin 3.0% · Revenue (TTM) 301B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −59%, ASPR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 45.49 IDR Fair Value 64.98 IDR Bull 84.48 IDR
Price 158.00 IDR · Downside -58.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 41.60 IDR 47.30 IDR 51.96 IDR 71
EV/EBIT 100.64 IDR 135.45 IDR 170.27 IDR 66
ROIC Compounder 41.60 IDR 47.30 IDR 51.96 IDR 66
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 21.93 IDR 106.69 IDR 147.00 IDR 57
Lynch FV 28.60 IDR 40.86 IDR 53.11 IDR 55
PEG = 1.0 28.60 IDR 40.86 IDR 53.11 IDR 52
EPV 41.60 IDR 47.30 IDR 51.96 IDR 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 53.21 IDR 70.94 IDR 88.68 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 41.11 IDR 54.82 IDR 68.52 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 193.27 IDR 257.70 IDR 322.12 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 100.64 IDR 135.45 IDR 170.27 IDR 66
EV/Revenue 66.60 IDR 96.77 IDR 126.94 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 32.21 IDR 43.16 IDR 64.42 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 45.12 IDR 44.03 IDR 45.34 IDR 64
ROIC Compounder 41.60 IDR 47.30 IDR 51.96 IDR 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 45.49 IDR 64.98 IDR 84.48 IDR 61

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 34
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 31
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 59
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 57
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

ASPR screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −57.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 6.5% · Below median
Return on assets 2.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 2.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 3.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 62.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.39× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.39× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Crown Holdings CCK $121.30 $121.85 +0% vs ASPR
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $44.09 $44.16 +0% vs ASPR
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.68 €9.67 +0% vs ASPR
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.11 $19.83 −18% vs ASPR
Amcor plc AMCR $44.87 $36.70 −18% vs ASPR
Ball Corporation BALL $65.92 $48.92 −26% vs ASPR
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $186.78 $125.58 −33% vs ASPR
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.10 CHF 9.03 −40% vs ASPR
Packaging Corporation PKG $249.70 $130.52 −48% vs ASPR
International Paper Company IP $34.53 $6.91 −80% vs ASPR

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PT Asia Pramulia Tbk: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Asia Pramulia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASPR

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 64.98 IDR versus a price of 158.00 IDR, about 59% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASPR?
Our model-based fair value for PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 64.98 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 158.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ASPR?
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 64.98 IDR (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 45.49 IDR, optimistic scenario 84.48 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Asia Pramulia Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 64.98 IDR, about 59% lower versus a price of 158.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 45.49 IDR, optimistic scenario 84.48 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 301B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does PT Asia Pramulia Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk pays a dividend of 0.64 IDR per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 19, 2026. The payout ratio is 19.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.4% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.4% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Asia Pramulia Tbk it is 64.98 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 158.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is PT Asia Pramulia Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, ASPR trades above its calculated fair value: price 158.00 IDR, fair value 64.98 IDR, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (158.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (64.98 IDR). For PT Asia Pramulia Tbk the two are 93.02 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Asia Pramulia Tbk worth?
The market values PT Asia Pramulia Tbk at about 428B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 158.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 64.98 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASPR?
Our models span a range for PT Asia Pramulia Tbk: cautious scenario 45.49 IDR, base 64.98 IDR, optimistic 84.48 IDR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 158.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASPR from its 52-week high?
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk trades at 158.00 IDR, about 70% below its 52-week high of 533.19 IDR and 65% above the low of 95.67 IDR (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 64.98 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Asia Pramulia Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Asia Pramulia Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 158.00 IDR, calculated fair value 64.98 IDR (−59%), Quality Score 40/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASPR calculated?
We run PT Asia Pramulia Tbk through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 64.98 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. PT Asia Pramulia Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 158.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 64.98 IDR, about 59% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Asia Pramulia Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (84.48 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (45.49 IDR to 84.48 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The market capitalisation of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 428B IDR (≈ $23.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 1.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The dividend yield of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The net margin of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 2.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 7.3% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
The operating margin of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
Revenue at PT Asia Pramulia Tbk is growing +62.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
Earnings per share at PT Asia Pramulia Tbk are growing −33.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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