PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 407B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 41.92 IDR to 64.49 IDR (+53.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +7.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (80.61 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (13 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range 88.70 IDR – 533.19 IDR · fair‑value band 48.37 IDR – 80.61 IDR · the 156.00 IDR price screens above the 64.49 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) currently trades at 156.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 64.49 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Asia Pramulia Tbk generated revenue of 267B IDR at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 27.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 48.37 IDR (bear case) to 80.61 IDR (bull case); at 156.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -59%, ASPR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (51.11 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (40.86 IDR). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).
Notify me when ASPR reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk engages in the manufacturing of plastic packaging. The company offers horeka packaging, oil packaging, personal care packaging, chemical and lubricant packaging, pet cans, food and biscuit packaging, water gallon and AMDK packaging, paint packaging, and bottle and jar caps, as well as aluminium easy open ends and egg trays.
Full company description
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk engages in the manufacturing of plastic packaging. The company offers horeka packaging, oil packaging, personal care packaging, chemical and lubricant packaging, pet cans, food and biscuit packaging, water gallon and AMDK packaging, paint packaging, and bottle and jar caps, as well as aluminium easy open ends and egg trays. PT Asia Pramulia Tbk was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Asia Pramulia Tbk reported revenue of 250B IDR in FY2025 versus 232B IDR in FY2023, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 8.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2023.
ASPR screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
Compare PT Asia Pramulia Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ASPR?
What is the quality score of ASPR?
What is the revenue of PT Asia Pramulia Tbk (ASPR)?
What is the net profit margin of ASPR?
Does PT Asia Pramulia Tbk pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track PT Asia Pramulia Tbk and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.