Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited (ASTRON) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹184M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹1.99 to ₹1.08 (−45.7%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (₹1.08 to ₹3.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.38 – ₹71.65 · fair‑value band ₹1.08 – ₹3.84 · the ₹3.55 price screens above the ₹1.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited (ASTRON) currently trades at ₹3.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1.08, implying the stock looks roughly 69.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹27.9M. It earns a return on equity of -26.6%. Net debt stands at ₹769M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1.08 (bear case) to ₹3.84 (bull case); at ₹3.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -70%, ASTRON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹9.81) versus DCF Models (₹1.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited manufactures and sells a range of kraft papers from wastepaper for the packaging industry in India. The company offers fluting medium, test liner, kraft liner, virgin top liner, H-RCT kraft liner, and liner products, as well as high ring crust test and corrugated medium papers. The company also exports its products.
Full company description
Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited manufactures and sells a range of kraft papers from wastepaper for the packaging industry in India. The company offers fluting medium, test liner, kraft liner, virgin top liner, H-RCT kraft liner, and liner products, as well as high ring crust test and corrugated medium papers. The company also exports its products. Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Astron Paper & Board Mill Limited reported revenue of ₹27.9M in FY2026 versus ₹5.0B in FY2022, a compound −72.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹212M in FY2026.
ASTRON screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →
Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 112 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.09 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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