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Atenor SA (ATEB) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · BE · Market cap €91.7M

AS Atenor SA ATEB · BR
Price€1.26
Fair Value€1.50
Upside+19.2%
Quality15/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -94.4% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.9265 – €1.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −22.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (€0.9265 to €1.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€32.62 €1.26 Fair Value €1.50 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.26 – €32.62 · fair‑value band €0.9265 – €1.90 · the €1.26 price screens below the €1.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Atenor SA (ATEB) currently trades at €1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.50, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 15/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Atenor SA generated revenue of €147M at a net margin of -94.4%. Revenue declined 49.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -54.6%. Net debt stands at €521M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.9265 (bear case) to €1.90 (bull case); at €1.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 19%, ATEB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €1.15 €1.92 €2.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.15 €1.82 €2.07 61
NCAV (Graham) €1.70 €2.27 €3.40 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.15 €1.92 €2.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.15 €1.82 €2.07 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.70 €2.27 €3.40 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€2.27) versus Dividend Discount (€1.82). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €147M
Revenue growth (YoY) -49.8%
Net margin -94.4%
Return on equity -54.6%
Free cash flow −€1.6M FY2025
Operating margin -55.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-2.40
EPS growth (YoY) -69.6%
Net debt €521M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 15/100

Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 1
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Atenor SA operates as a real estate development company in Belgium, Hungary, Poland, the Netherlands, France, Portugal, Romania, Luxembourg, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It develops residential and non-residential projects.

Full company description

Atenor SA operates as a real estate development company in Belgium, Hungary, Poland, the Netherlands, France, Portugal, Romania, Luxembourg, Germany, and the United Kingdom. It develops residential and non-residential projects. The company also engages in the installation, maintenance, and repair of equipment, as well as in the renovation of existing buildings. In addition, it develops mixed-use urban projects, including offices, retail, housing, public facilities, and shops. It serves private individuals, businesses, public and local authorities, public and private investors, and companies through real estate agents and local networks, as well as by collaboration with tenants and investors. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in La Hulpe, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Atenor SA reported revenue of €147M in FY2025 versus €174M in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€139M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 2/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€147M
Latest YoY
−55.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+53.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Revenue −4.1%/yr
FY21 €174M
FY22 €41.0M
FY23 €89.5M
FY24 €333M
FY25 €147M
Net income
FY21 €38.1M
FY22 −€843K
FY23 −€107M
FY24 −€39.4M
FY25 −€139M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atenor SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATEB

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 16 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -94% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -55% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -50% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.52× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.72× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 24 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Atenor SA (ATEB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.50 versus a price of €1.26, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATEB?
Our model-based fair value for Atenor SA is €1.50 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.26.
What is the quality score of ATEB?
Atenor SA has a Quality Score of 15/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Atenor SA (ATEB)?
Atenor SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €147M (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATEB?
The net profit margin of Atenor SA is about -94.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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