Aterian Inc (ATER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Aterian Inc $0.77, price $0.64, upside +20.5%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3605 – $215.76 · fair‑value band $0.5015 – $0.9520 · the $0.6350 price screens below the $0.7650 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Aterian, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer products company in North America, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, and internationally.
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Aterian, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer products company in North America, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, and internationally. The company offers home and kitchen appliances, kitchenware, air quality appliances, health and beauty products, and essential oils under the Squatty Potty, HomeLabs, Mueller Living, PurSteam, Healing Solutions, and Photo Paper Direct brand names. It primarily serves individual online consumers through online retail channels, such as Amazon, Walmart, and Target; Amazon US, owned and operated websites; and other marketplaces. The company was formerly known as Mohawk Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Aterian, Inc. in April 2021. Aterian, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Summit, New Jersey., Chile, Colombia, Argentina, and internationally.
Stock analysis
Aterian Inc (ATER) currently trades at $0.6350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7650, implying the stock looks roughly 17.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.5015 (bear) to $0.9520 (bull), the price of $0.6350 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Aterian Inc reported revenue of $69.0M in FY2025 versus $248M in FY2021, a compound −27.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $13.0M · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) $−2.32 · Net margin −27.5% · Return on equity −104% · Return on assets (EBIT) −62.6% · Operating margin −16,161% · Revenue (TTM) $68.9M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 20%, ATER screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5015Fair Value $0.7650Bull $0.9520
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.7% (2020) → −17.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aterian Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATER
Frequently asked questions
Is Aterian Inc (ATER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7650 versus a price of $0.6350, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATER?
Our model-based fair value for Aterian Inc is $0.7650 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6350.
What is the quality score of ATER?
Aterian Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aterian Inc (ATER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7650 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5015, optimistic scenario $0.9520. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aterian Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7650, about +20% upside versus a price of $0.6350 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.5015, optimistic scenario $0.9520. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
Aterian Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $68.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aterian Inc it is $0.7650 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.6350. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aterian Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ATER trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.6350, fair value $0.7650, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATER?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.6350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7650). For Aterian Inc the two are $0.1300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aterian Inc worth?
The market values Aterian Inc at about $13.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.6350; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7650 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATER?
Our models span a range for Aterian Inc: cautious scenario $0.5015, base $0.7650, optimistic $0.9520 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.6350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aterian Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −103.9%, debt of 2.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATER from its 52-week high?
Aterian Inc trades at $0.6350, about 54% below its 52-week high of $1.39 and 76% above the low of $0.3605 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7650 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aterian Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aterian Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.6350, calculated fair value $0.7650 (+20%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATER calculated?
We run Aterian Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7650, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Aterian Inc currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.6350. Our model-based fair value is $0.7650, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aterian Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.5015 to $0.9520) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Aterian Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
The market capitalisation of Aterian Inc is $13.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aterian Inc is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
Earnings per share at Aterian Inc are $−2.32. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
The net margin of Aterian Inc is −27.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aterian Inc is −104% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aterian Inc is −62.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aterian Inc (ATER)?
The operating margin of Aterian Inc is −16,161% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aterian Inc (ATER)?
Revenue at Aterian Inc is growing −71.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Aterian Inc (ATER) generate?
The free cash flow of Aterian Inc is −$10.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Aterian Inc (ATER) hold?
Aterian Inc holds more cash than debt, $230K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026