Aterian, Inc (ATER) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $13.0M

Below-average quality, screening 55% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range ($0.5015 to $0.9520) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3605 – $260.40 · fair‑value band $0.5015 – $0.9520 · the $0.4934 price screens below the $0.7650 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Aterian, Inc (ATER) currently trades at $0.4934, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7650, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Aterian, Inc generated revenue of $68.9M at a net margin of -30.8%. Revenue declined 71.4% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5015 (bear case) to $0.9520 (bull case); at $0.4934, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 55%, ATER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Aterian, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer products company in North America, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, and internationally.

Full company description

Aterian, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer products company in North America, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, and internationally. The company offers home and kitchen appliances, kitchenware, air quality appliances, health and beauty products, and essential oils under the Squatty Potty, HomeLabs, Mueller Living, PurSteam, Healing Solutions, and Photo Paper Direct brand names. It primarily serves individual online consumers through online retail channels, such as Amazon, Walmart, and Target; Amazon US, owned and operated websites; and other marketplaces. The company was formerly known as Mohawk Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Aterian, Inc. in April 2021. Aterian, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Summit, New Jersey., Chile, Colombia, Argentina, and internationally.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aterian, Inc reported revenue of $69.0M in FY2025 versus $248M in FY2021, a compound −27.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$19.0M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.