Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation $159, price $90.97, upside +75.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $21.92 – $111.79 · fair‑value band $78.81 – $244.15 · the $90.97 price screens below the $159.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Credit as a Service (CaaS) and Auto Finance.
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Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Credit as a Service (CaaS) and Auto Finance. Its CaaS segment offers private label credit products associated with the healthcare space under the Curae brand, as well as consumer electronics, furniture, elective medical procedures, and home-improvement under the Fortiva brand and its retail partners' brands; and general-purpose credit cards under the Aspire, Imagine, Mercury, and Fortiva brand names. The company's private label and general-purpose credit cards originated from its bank partners through various channels, including retail and healthcare point-of-sale locations, direct mail solicitation, and digital marketing and partnerships with third parties. This segment also offers loan servicing, such as risk management and customer service outsourcing for third parties, as well as engages in other product testing and investments. The Auto Finance segment purchases and/or services loans secured by automobiles from or for a pre-qualified network of independent automotive dealers and automotive finance companies in the buy-here and pay-here used car business. This segment also provides floor plan financing and installment lending products. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) currently trades at $90.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $159.21, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $815.14 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $90.97 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $26.98, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $78.81 (bear) to $244.15 (bull), the price of $90.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation reported revenue of $704M in FY2025 versus $454M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $122M in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.7B · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 1.88 · EPS (TTM) $8.38 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 17.3% · Return on equity 21.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 75%, ATLC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $78.81Fair Value $159.21Bull $244.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($6.13 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.8% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 35%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.9% a year for the price.
Compare Atlanticus Holdings Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 332 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+73% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)21% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth61% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity10.71× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $159.21 versus a price of $90.97, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATLC?
Our model-based fair value for Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is $159.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $90.97.
What is the quality score of ATLC?
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $159.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $78.81, optimistic scenario $244.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlanticus Holdings Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $159.21, about +75% upside versus a price of $90.97 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $78.81, optimistic scenario $244.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $629M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Atlanticus Holdings Corporation pay a dividend?
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Atlanticus Holdings Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +9.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATLC use?
Our models discount Atlanticus Holdings Corporation at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.16, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Atlanticus Holdings Corporation that is +9.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Atlanticus Holdings Corporation grew +12.5 % a year. The price currently implies +9.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (+9.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 36.26 %: that much free cash flow Atlanticus Holdings Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlanticus Holdings Corporation it is $159.21 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $90.97. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atlanticus Holdings Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ATLC trades below its calculated fair value: price $90.97, fair value $159.21, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATLC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($90.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($159.21). For Atlanticus Holdings Corporation the two are $68.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlanticus Holdings Corporation worth?
The market values Atlanticus Holdings Corporation at about $1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $90.97; our models calculate a fair value of $159.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATLC?
Our models span a range for Atlanticus Holdings Corporation: cautious scenario $78.81, base $159.21, optimistic $244.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $90.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATLC?
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $159.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 45.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.4%, debt of 10.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATLC from its 52-week high?
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation trades at $90.97, about 19% below its 52-week high of $111.79 and 90% above the low of $47.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $159.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlanticus Holdings Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlanticus Holdings Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $90.97, calculated fair value $159.21 (+75%), Quality Score 50/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATLC calculated?
We run Atlanticus Holdings Corporation through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $159.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Atlanticus Holdings Corporation currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $90.97. Our model-based fair value is $159.21, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlanticus Holdings Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($78.81 to $244.15). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The market capitalisation of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is $1.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is 1.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Earnings per share at Atlanticus Holdings Corporation are $8.38 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The dividend yield of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is 0.9% (payout 9.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The net margin of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is 17.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is 21.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
The operating margin of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is 31.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Revenue at Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is growing +60.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC)?
Earnings per share at Atlanticus Holdings Corporation are growing +50.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) carry?
The net debt of Atlanticus Holdings Corporation is $5.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026