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Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.4B

AH Atlanticus Holdings logo Atlanticus Holdings ATLC · US
Price$100.01
Fair Value$54.06
Upside-46.0%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 21.4% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range $54.06 – $131.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($54.06 to $131.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$111.79 $21.92 Fair Value $54.06 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.92 – $111.79 · fair‑value band $54.06 – $131.35 · the $100.01 price screens above the $54.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) currently trades at $100.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $54.06, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Atlanticus Holdings generated revenue of $629M at a net margin of 21.4%. Revenue grew 60.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.4%. Net debt stands at $5.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $54.06 (bear case) to $131.35 (bull case); at $100.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -46%, ATLC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $112.75 $496.00 $1,144 80
Residual Income $46.47 $64.62 $260.99 76
Gordon GGM $6.39 $11.51 $15.85 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $32.60 31
5Y P/E Exit $88.51 38
10Y P/E Exit $97.93 $331.83 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $54.97 $377.01 $528.70 54
Lynch FV $110.90 $158.43 $205.96 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.39 $11.51 $15.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.39 $10.52 $12.30 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $78.81 $105.08 $131.35 63
P/B Multiple $42.28 $56.37 $70.46 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.13 $26.98 $40.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $112.75 $496.00 $1,144 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $46.47 $64.62 $260.99 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($496.00) versus Dividend Discount ($10.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $629M
Revenue growth (YoY) +60.8%
Net margin 21.4%
Return on equity 21.4%
Free cash flow $633M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.4
More key figures
Operating margin 31.0%
EPS (TTM) $8.38
EPS growth (YoY) +50.2%
Net debt $5.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 6
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Credit as a Service (CaaS) and Auto Finance.

Full company description

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Credit as a Service (CaaS) and Auto Finance. Its CaaS segment offers private label credit products associated with the healthcare space under the Curae brand, as well as consumer electronics, furniture, elective medical procedures, and home-improvement under the Fortiva brand and its retail partners' brands; and general-purpose credit cards under the Aspire, Imagine, Mercury, and Fortiva brand names. The company's private label and general-purpose credit cards originated from its bank partners through various channels, including retail and healthcare point-of-sale locations, direct mail solicitation, and digital marketing and partnerships with third parties. This segment also offers loan servicing, such as risk management and customer service outsourcing for third parties, as well as engages in other product testing and investments. The Auto Finance segment purchases and/or services loans secured by automobiles from or for a pre-qualified network of independent automotive dealers and automotive finance companies in the buy-here and pay-here used car business. This segment also provides floor plan financing and installment lending products. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Atlanticus Holdings reported revenue of $704M in FY2025 versus $454M in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $122M in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$704M
Latest YoY
+53.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+9.6%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 $454M
FY22 $374M
FY23 $366M
FY24 $460M
FY25 $704M
Net income −9.0%/yr
FY21 $178M
FY22 $136M
FY23 $103M
FY24 $111M
FY25 $122M

ATLC screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlanticus Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATLC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −46% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Below median
Revenue growth 61% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 10.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.30× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 43.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 86 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $54.06 versus a price of $100.01, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATLC?
Our model-based fair value for Atlanticus Holdings is $54.06 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $100.01.
What is the quality score of ATLC?
Atlanticus Holdings has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Atlanticus Holdings (ATLC)?
Atlanticus Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $629M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATLC?
The net profit margin of Atlanticus Holdings is about 21.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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