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Andrada Mining Limited (ATMTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $114M

AM Andrada Mining Limited logo Andrada Mining Limited ATMTF · US
Price$0.0545
Fair Value$0.0300
Upside-45.0%
Quality19/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -38.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 4/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0300 – $0.0300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0302 to $0.0300 (−0.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.5000 $0.0008 Fair Value $0.0300 Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0008 – $0.5000 · the $0.0545 price screens above the $0.0300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Andrada Mining Limited (ATMTF) currently trades at $0.0545, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 45.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Andrada Mining Limited generated revenue of $25.2M at a net margin of -38.0%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.9%. Net debt stands at $19.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -45%, ATMTF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $25.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.5%
Net margin -38.0%
Return on equity -34.9%
Free cash flow −$18.9M FY2025
Operating margin -11.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0100
Net debt $19.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 11
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Andrada Mining Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral resources in Namibia. The company explores for lithium, tin, tantalum, rubidium, tungsten, copper, petalite, and spodumene deposits. Its flagship asset is the Uis Tin Mine that covers an area of approximately 19,700 hectares located in the Erongo region, Namibia.

Full company description

Andrada Mining Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral resources in Namibia. The company explores for lithium, tin, tantalum, rubidium, tungsten, copper, petalite, and spodumene deposits. Its flagship asset is the Uis Tin Mine that covers an area of approximately 19,700 hectares located in the Erongo region, Namibia. The company was formerly known as AfriTin Mining Limited and changed its name to Andrada Mining Limited in January 2023. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Illovo, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Andrada Mining Limited reported revenue of $23.8M in FY2025 versus $5.0M in FY2021, a compound +47.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$23.8M
Latest YoY
+32.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.5%
Revenue +47.8%/yr
FY21 $5.0M
FY22 $13.6M
FY23 $9.8M
FY24 $18.0M
FY25 $23.8M
Net income
FY21 −$5.7M
FY22 −$816K
FY23 −$7.8M
FY24 −$8.4M
FY25 −$9.8M

ATMTF screens 45% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Andrada Mining Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATMTF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -38% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.79× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.52× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 63 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 67 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.89 $8.95 -40%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Andrada Mining Limited (ATMTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0300 versus a price of $0.0545, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATMTF?
Our model-based fair value for Andrada Mining Limited is $0.0300 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0545.
What is the quality score of ATMTF?
Andrada Mining Limited has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Andrada Mining Limited (ATMTF)?
Andrada Mining Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATMTF?
The net profit margin of Andrada Mining Limited is about -38.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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