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ATS Corporation (ATS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of ATS Corporation $21.02, price $19.21, upside +9.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · Home Canada · ISIN CA00217Y1043

AC ATS Corporation logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

ATS Corporation

ATS · US

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $21.02 · Fairly valued (+9%)
!Quality 58/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$48.73 $18.49 Fair Value $21.02 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.49 – $48.73 · fair‑value band $13.67 – $31.51 · the $19.21 price screens below the $21.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

ATS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planning, designing, building, commissioning, and servicing of automated manufacturing and assembly systems worldwide.

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ATS Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the planning, designing, building, commissioning, and servicing of automated manufacturing and assembly systems worldwide. The company offers pre-automation services comprising discovery and analysis, concept development, simulation, and total cost of ownership modeling; post-automation services, including training, process optimization, preventive maintenance, emergency and on-call support, spare parts, retooling, retrofits, and equipment relocation; and contract manufacturing services, as well as after-sales services. It also provides engineering design, prototyping, process verification, specification writing, software and manufacturing process controls development, standard automation products and platforms, equipment design and build, third-party equipment qualification, procurement and integration, automation system installation, product line commissioning, validation, and documentation services. In addition, the company offers value engineering, supply chain management, and integration and manufacturing capabilities, as well as other automation products and solutions; and software and digital solutions comprising connected factory floor management systems to capture, analyze, and use real-time machine performance data to troubleshoot issues, deliver process and product solutions, prevent equipment downtime, drive operational efficiency, and unlock performance for sustainable production improvements. It serves the life sciences, transportation and mobility, consumer products, food and beverage, electronics, nuclear, packaging, warehousing and distribution, and energy markets. The company was formerly known as ATS Automation Tooling Systems Inc. and changed its name to ATS Corporation in November 2022. ATS Corporation was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Canada.

Stock analysis

ATS Corporation (ATS) currently trades at $19.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.02, implying the stock looks roughly 8.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $41.75 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $19.21 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $7.95, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $13.67 (bear) to $31.51 (bull), the price of $19.21 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

ATS Corporation reported revenue of C$3.0B in FY2026 versus C$2.2B in FY2022, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$71.6M in FY2026, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $2.7B · P/E ratio 37.7 · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) $0.5100 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 3.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 9%, ATS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $13.67 Fair Value $21.02 Bull $31.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2473 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $46.26 $86.55 $152.16 77
Growth DCF $45.98 $83.16 $141.74 76
EPV $8.02 $10.90 $13.38 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $46.26 $86.55 $152.16 77
Owner Earnings $20.11 $41.75 $76.97 73
5Y Revenue Exit $22.41 $39.42 $61.20 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $32.34 $59.48 $92.43 73
5Y P/E Exit $15.97 $26.42 $37.38 70
10Y Revenue Exit $29.69 $48.14 $73.95 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $36.74 $62.35 $99.01 67
10Y P/E Exit $26.21 $38.93 $54.84 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.02 $21.69 $29.65 64
Lynch FV $5.57 $7.95 $10.34 61
PEG = 1.0 $5.57 $7.95 $10.34 57
EPV $8.02 $10.90 $13.38 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.63 $15.51 $19.38 63
P/S Multiple $9.42 $12.55 $15.69 58
P/B Multiple $9.42 $12.55 $15.69 55
EV/EBIT $18.96 $28.69 $38.41 65
EV/EBITDA $28.57 $41.50 $54.42 67
EV/Revenue $10.62 $19.54 $28.46 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.16 $12.28 $18.33 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.98 $83.16 $141.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF $22.41 $39.72 $61.73 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.45 $13.25 $11.71 71
ROIC Compounder $8.02 $10.90 $13.38 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.29 $13.27 $17.25 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.1% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs 6%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.0% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.1%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2031 (sales)+3.8%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.72× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.50× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)46 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)64 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ATS Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATS

Frequently asked questions

Is ATS Corporation (ATS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.02 versus a price of $19.21, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ATS?
Our model-based fair value for ATS Corporation is $21.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.21.
What is the quality score of ATS?
ATS Corporation has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ATS Corporation (ATS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.67, optimistic scenario $31.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ATS Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.02, about +9% upside versus a price of $19.21 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $13.67, optimistic scenario $31.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
ATS Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into ATS Corporation (ATS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ATS Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -2.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATS use?
Our models discount ATS Corporation at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ATS Corporation that is -2.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ATS Corporation (ATS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ATS Corporation grew +15.8 % a year. The price currently implies -2.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ATS Corporation (ATS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ATS Corporation (-2.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.97 %: that much free cash flow ATS Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ATS Corporation it is $21.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $19.21. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ATS Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ATS trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.21, fair value $21.02, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.02). For ATS Corporation the two are $1.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ATS Corporation worth?
The market values ATS Corporation at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $19.21; our models calculate a fair value of $21.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATS?
Our models span a range for ATS Corporation: cautious scenario $13.67, base $21.02, optimistic $31.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $19.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATS?
ATS Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
Balance-sheet figures for ATS Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATS from its 52-week high?
ATS Corporation trades at $19.21, about 46% below its 52-week high of $35.38 and 4% above the low of $18.49 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ATS Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ATS Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $19.21, calculated fair value $21.02 (+9%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATS calculated?
We run ATS Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. ATS Corporation currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $19.21. Our model-based fair value is $21.02, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ATS Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($13.67 to $31.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of ATS Corporation (ATS) come from?
Earnings per share at ATS Corporation grew +12.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.3 %, EBIT margin +2.4 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of ATS Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The market capitalisation of ATS Corporation is $2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ATS Corporation is 0.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
Earnings per share at ATS Corporation are $0.5100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The net margin of ATS Corporation is 2.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ATS Corporation is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ATS Corporation is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ATS Corporation (ATS)?
The operating margin of ATS Corporation is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ATS Corporation (ATS)?
Revenue at ATS Corporation is growing +30.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ATS Corporation (ATS)?
Earnings per share at ATS Corporation are growing +358% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does ATS Corporation (ATS) carry?
The net debt of ATS Corporation is C$1.2B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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