Atico Mining Corporation (ATY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Atico Mining Corporation C$0.33, price C$0.24, upside +38.8%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0450 – C$0.6500 · fair‑value band C$0.2444 – C$0.4220 · the C$0.2400 price screens below the C$0.3332 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Atico Mining Corporation engages in the exploration, development, extraction, and processing of copper and gold projects in Latin America. The company also explores for lead, zinc and silver deposits. Its principal project is the El Roble mine located in Carmen de Atrato, Colombia.
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Atico Mining Corporation engages in the exploration, development, extraction, and processing of copper and gold projects in Latin America. The company also explores for lead, zinc and silver deposits. Its principal project is the El Roble mine located in Carmen de Atrato, Colombia. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
Atico Mining Corporation (ATY) currently trades at C$0.2400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.3332, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$0.5500 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the C$0.2400 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.1100, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.2444 (bear) to C$0.4220 (bull), the price of C$0.2400 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Atico Mining Corporation reported revenue of $63.4M in FY2025 versus $72.7M in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$43.3M (≈ $30.6M) · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.1400 · Net margin −22.7% · Return on equity −41.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin 7.2% · Revenue (TTM) C$70.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 39%, ATY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.2444Fair Value C$0.3332Bull C$0.4220
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.5% (2020) → 4.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.3% a year for the price.
Compare Atico Mining Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+39% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Atico Mining Corporation (ATY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.3332 versus a price of C$0.2400, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATY?
Our model-based fair value for Atico Mining Corporation is C$0.3332 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.2400.
What is the quality score of ATY?
Atico Mining Corporation has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.3332 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.2444, optimistic scenario C$0.4220. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atico Mining Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.3332, about +39% upside versus a price of C$0.2400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.2444, optimistic scenario C$0.4220. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Atico Mining Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$70.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Atico Mining Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATY use?
Our models discount Atico Mining Corporation at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.59, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Atico Mining Corporation that is +1.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Atico Mining Corporation (ATY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Atico Mining Corporation grew +1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +1.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Atico Mining Corporation (+1.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.52 %: that much free cash flow Atico Mining Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atico Mining Corporation it is C$0.3332 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.2400. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atico Mining Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ATY trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.2400, fair value C$0.3332, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.2400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.3332). For Atico Mining Corporation the two are C$0.0932 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atico Mining Corporation worth?
The market values Atico Mining Corporation at about C$43.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.2400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.3332 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATY?
Our models span a range for Atico Mining Corporation: cautious scenario C$0.2444, base C$0.3332, optimistic C$0.4220 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.2400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atico Mining Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −41.2%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATY from its 52-week high?
Atico Mining Corporation trades at C$0.2400, about 38% below its 52-week high of C$0.3850 and 50% above the low of C$0.1600 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.3332 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atico Mining Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atico Mining Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.2400, calculated fair value C$0.3332 (+39%), Quality Score 26/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATY calculated?
We run Atico Mining Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.3332, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Atico Mining Corporation currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$0.2400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.3332, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atico Mining Corporation right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Atico Mining Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The market capitalisation of Atico Mining Corporation is C$43.3M (≈ $30.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atico Mining Corporation is 0.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Earnings per share at Atico Mining Corporation are C$−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The net margin of Atico Mining Corporation is −22.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atico Mining Corporation is −41.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atico Mining Corporation is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
The operating margin of Atico Mining Corporation is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Revenue at Atico Mining Corporation is growing −17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atico Mining Corporation (ATY)?
Earnings per share at Atico Mining Corporation are growing −97.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Atico Mining Corporation (ATY) carry?
The net debt of Atico Mining Corporation is C$1.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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