Autopistas del Sol (AUSO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Autopistas del Sol ARS 3,339, price ARS 3,040, upside +9.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 49.60 ARS – 4,320 ARS · fair‑value band 2,504 ARS – 4,173 ARS · the 3,040 ARS price screens below the 3,339 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Autopistas Del Sol SA is involved in the construction, expansion, remodeling, preservation, improvement, operation, and administration of highways.
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Autopistas Del Sol SA is involved in the construction, expansion, remodeling, preservation, improvement, operation, and administration of highways. It operates the North Access, a 96-kilometer highway that connects the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires with the suburbs in the north and nearby coastal areas; and the General Paz Rind Road, a 24-kilometer toll-free section of the primary ring road that surrounds the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Stock analysis
Autopistas del Sol (AUSO) currently trades at 3,040 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,339 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 8.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 30,726 ARS per share, and 15 of the 18 models we run sit above the 3,040 ARS price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,921 ARS, and 3 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 2,504 ARS (bear) to 4,173 ARS (bull), the price of 3,040 ARS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Autopistas del Sol reported revenue of 141B ARS in FY2025 versus 8.9B ARS in FY2021, a compound +99.7%/yr. Reported net income was 77.6B ARS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 332B ARS (≈ $218M) · P/E ratio 9.4 · P/S ratio 5.15 · EPS (TTM) 400.02 ARS · Net margin 54.9% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Operating margin 31.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, AUSO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 2,504 ARSFair Value 3,339 ARSBull 4,173 ARS
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (293.71 ARS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+104.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+92.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +59.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → −19%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+30.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Argentina: IMF forecast 13.8% a year to 2030) that is about +14.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 68 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)31% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)9.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.86× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autopistas del Sol Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUSO
Frequently asked questions
Is Autopistas del Sol (AUSO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,339 ARS versus a price of 3,040 ARS, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AUSO?
Our model-based fair value for Autopistas del Sol is 3,339 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,040 ARS.
What is the quality score of AUSO?
Autopistas del Sol has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,339 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,504 ARS, optimistic scenario 4,173 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autopistas del Sol stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,339 ARS, about +10% upside versus a price of 3,040 ARS (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 2,504 ARS, optimistic scenario 4,173 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Autopistas del Sol reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 253B ARS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Autopistas del Sol would have to grow free cash flow by +30.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 22.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +92.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AUSO use?
Our models discount Autopistas del Sol at 22.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Argentina. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Autopistas del Sol that is +30.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (22.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Autopistas del Sol (AUSO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Autopistas del Sol grew +92.0 % a year. The price currently implies +30.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Autopistas del Sol (+30.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.35 %: that much free cash flow Autopistas del Sol produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (22.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autopistas del Sol it is 3,339 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,040 ARS. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autopistas del Sol stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AUSO trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,040 ARS, fair value 3,339 ARS, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUSO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,040 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,339 ARS). For Autopistas del Sol the two are 298.50 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autopistas del Sol worth?
The market values Autopistas del Sol at about 332B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,040 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 3,339 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUSO?
Our models span a range for Autopistas del Sol: cautious scenario 2,504 ARS, base 3,339 ARS, optimistic 4,173 ARS per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,040 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUSO?
Autopistas del Sol trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3,339 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autopistas del Sol (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUSO from its 52-week high?
Autopistas del Sol trades at 3,040 ARS, about 30% below its 52-week high of 4,320 ARS and 69% above the low of 1,800 ARS (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,339 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autopistas del Sol?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autopistas del Sol stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,040 ARS, calculated fair value 3,339 ARS (+10%), Quality Score 56/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUSO calculated?
We run Autopistas del Sol through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3,339 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Autopistas del Sol currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 3,040 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 3,339 ARS, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autopistas del Sol right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Autopistas del Sol
How large is the market capitalisation of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The market capitalisation of Autopistas del Sol is 332B ARS (≈ $218M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autopistas del Sol is 5.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Earnings per share at Autopistas del Sol are 400.02 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The net margin of Autopistas del Sol is 54.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autopistas del Sol is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autopistas del Sol is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
The operating margin of Autopistas del Sol is 31.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Revenue at Autopistas del Sol is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +104%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Autopistas del Sol (AUSO)?
Earnings per share at Autopistas del Sol are growing +489% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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