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Avax S.A (AVAX) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GR · Market cap €501M

AS Avax S.A AVAX · AT
Price€3.51
Fair Value€6.60
Upside+88.0%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.96% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range €3.39 – €8.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€3.39 to €8.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€3.89 €0.6040 Fair Value €6.60 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.6040 – €3.89 · fair‑value band €3.39 – €8.40 · the €3.51 price screens below the €6.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Avax S.A (AVAX) currently trades at €3.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.60, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Avax S.A generated revenue of €958M at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 71.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.1%. Net debt stands at €200M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.39 (bear case) to €8.40 (bull case); at €3.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 88%, AVAX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €2.22 €3.82 €6.13 80
Residual Income €1.81 €2.42 €9.12 76
Rev-Margin DCF €3.45 €6.60 €10.69 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.27 €4.10 €6.94 38
Owner Earnings €4.03 €7.06 €11.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit €3.45 €6.72 €11.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €4.41 €8.70 €14.17 41
5Y P/E Exit €3.50 €6.81 €10.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit €2.82 €5.60 €9.98 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €3.53 €6.93 €12.24 37
10Y P/E Exit €2.98 €5.66 €9.53 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.18 €10.39 €14.29 54
Lynch FV €2.77 €3.95 €5.14 50
PEG = 1.0 €2.77 €3.95 €5.14 46
EPV €3.27 €3.77 €4.19 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €5.04 €6.72 €8.40 63
P/S Multiple €4.08 €5.44 €6.80 58
P/B Multiple €4.08 €5.44 €6.80 55
EV/EBIT €6.10 €8.26 €10.42 53
EV/EBITDA €6.22 €8.43 €10.63 54
EV/Revenue €4.24 €6.22 €8.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.7100 €0.9500 €1.41 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.22 €3.82 €6.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF €3.45 €6.60 €10.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.81 €2.42 €9.12 76
ROIC Compounder €3.69 €4.80 €6.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €4.34 €6.20 €8.05 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€6.72) versus Asset-Based (€0.9500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €958M
Revenue growth (YoY) +71.0%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 26.1%
Free cash flow €36.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.6
More key figures
Operating margin -5.5%
EPS (TTM) €0.3200
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +72.8%
Net debt €200M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Avax S.A. operates as a construction company in Greece and internationally. It operates through Construction, Concessions, and Other Activities segments.

Full company description

Avax S.A. operates as a construction company in Greece and internationally. It operates through Construction, Concessions, and Other Activities segments. The company constructs civil engineering projects, including airports, banks, buildings, education facilities, garages, hospitals, hotels, Olympic sports facilities, special projects, sports facilities, and other civil engineering projects. It also constructs environmental plants, natural gas and petrochemical projects, and power plant projects; and bridges, harbors, railroads, roads, and other infrastructure projects. In addition, the company is involved in activities focusing on the residential development-urban and country/holiday homes and investing in commercial real estate; and vehicle technical inspection, and facilities management services. The company was formerly known as J&P-AVAX S.A. and changed its name to Avax S.A. in April 2019. Avax S.A. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Marousi, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avax S.A reported revenue of €958M in FY2025 versus €592M in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was €47.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€958M
Latest YoY
+47.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+33.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+5.7%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY21 €592M
FY22 €403M
FY23 €454M
FY24 €651M
FY25 €958M
Net income
FY21 −€14.1M
FY22 €38.1M
FY23 €10.3M
FY24 €30.1M
FY25 €47.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avax S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVAX

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +88% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 71% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.83× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 59 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 59 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avax S.A (AVAX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.60 versus a price of €3.51, about +88% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVAX?
Our model-based fair value for Avax S.A is €6.60 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €3.51.
What is the quality score of AVAX?
Avax S.A has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Avax S.A (AVAX)?
Avax S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €958M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVAX?
The net profit margin of Avax S.A is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Avax S.A pay a dividend?
Avax S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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