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ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. $5.30, price $28.45, upside -81.4%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US · ISIN US04272N1028

AB ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

ArriVent BioPharma, Inc.

AVBP · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $5.30 · Strongly overvalued (−81.4%)
!Quality 24/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$35.63 $15.30 Fair Value $5.30 Jan 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range $15.30 – $35.63 · fair‑value band $3.49 – $6.61 · the $28.45 price screens above the $5.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

ArriVent BioPharma, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the identification, development, and commercialization of medicines for the unmet medical needs of patients with cancers.

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ArriVent BioPharma, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the identification, development, and commercialization of medicines for the unmet medical needs of patients with cancers. The company's lead development candidate is firmonertinib, a tyrosine kinase inhibitor that is being evaluated in multiple clinical trials across a range of epidermal growth factor receptor mutations (EGFRm) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), including a Phase 3 clinical trial for treatment of patients with advanced or metastatic EGFRm NSCLC with exon 20 insertion mutations, as well as Phase 1b clinical trials to treat NSCLC patients with activating EGFRm, including P-loop and-alpha-c-helix compressing (PACC) mutations, and classical EGFRm NSCLC patients. It is also developing ARR-217, an antibody drug conjugate (ADC) for the treatment of gastrointestinal cancers; and ARR-002, ARR-421, and ARR-173 for solid tumors. The company has strategic collaborations with Aarvik Therapeutics Inc., Shanghai Allist Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., Beijing InnoCare Pharma Tech Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Alphamab Biopharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., and Lepu Biopharma Co. Ltd. ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock (AVBP) currently trades at $28.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.30, implying the stock looks roughly 437.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $3.49 (bear) to $6.61 (bull), the price of $28.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$166M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.4B · EPS (TTM) $−3.55 · Return on equity −53.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −34.7% · Free cash flow −$161M · Net cash $45.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −81%, AVBP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.49 Fair Value $5.30 Bull $6.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $3.12 $4.17 $6.23 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.12 $4.17 $6.23 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AVBP screens 437% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 649 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −81.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −33.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.41× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $526.19 $578.81 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $788.04 $1,275 +62%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$176.95 A$194.65 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock · Fair Value
$5.30 −437%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVBP

Frequently asked questions

Is ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.30 versus a price of $28.45, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVBP?
Our model-based fair value for ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock is $5.30 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.45.
What is the quality score of AVBP?
ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.30 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.49, optimistic scenario $6.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.30, about −81% upside versus a price of $28.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.49, optimistic scenario $6.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock it is $5.30 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $28.45. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AVBP trades above its calculated fair value: price $28.45, fair value $5.30, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVBP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($28.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.30). For ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock the two are $23.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock at about $1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $28.45; our models calculate a fair value of $5.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVBP?
Our models span a range for ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $3.49, base $5.30, optimistic $6.61 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $28.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
Balance-sheet figures for ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −53.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVBP from its 52-week high?
ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock trades at $28.45, about 18% below its 52-week high of $34.74 and 66% above the low of $17.17 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $28.45, calculated fair value $5.30 (−81%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVBP calculated?
We run ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $28.45. Our model-based fair value is $5.30, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($3.49 to $6.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
The market capitalisation of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock is $1.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
Earnings per share at ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock are $−3.55. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock is −53.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock is −34.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP) generate?
The free cash flow of ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock is −$161M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. (AVBP) hold?
ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $45.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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