AvePoint, Inc (AVPT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.8B
AvePoint, Inc
AVPT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.59 – $19.99 · fair‑value band $2.11 – $3.52 · the $12.79 price screens above the $2.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
AvePoint, Inc (AVPT) currently trades at $12.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.81, implying the stock looks roughly 78.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AvePoint, Inc generated revenue of $444M at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 26.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $471M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.11 (bear case) to $3.52 (bull case); at $12.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -78%, AVPT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.65) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AvePoint, Inc. provides cloud-native data management software platform in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
Full company description
AvePoint, Inc. provides cloud-native data management software platform in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It also provides platform-as-a-service architecture to address critical operational challenges and the management of data to organizations that leverage third-party cloud vendors, including Microsoft, Salesforce, Google, AWS, Box, DropBox, and others; license and support; and maintenance services. Further, it provides AvePoint confidence platform including control suite, automates data governance, enforces policies, and optimizes SaaS investments, enables expense management and reduction, and provides insight into access, risk, and entitlements across collaborative platforms; resilience suite, that supports business continuity and compliance through Backup-as-a-Service, ransomware recovery, lifecycle management, and classification-driven protection; and modernization suite, that modernizes legacy systems and processes into AI-ready, SaaS-based experiences to accelerate employee engagement, digital transformation, and productivity. AvePoint, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Jersey City, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AvePoint, Inc reported revenue of $419M in FY2025 versus $192M in FY2021, a compound +21.6%/yr. Reported net income was $35.1M in FY2025.
AVPT screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- AvePoint Inc (AVPT) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record ARR Growth and AI-Driven Momentum
- AvePoint, Inc. (AVPT) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
- AvePoint Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
- AvePoint Launches Kinetic Classification for Dynamic Sensitivity So Enterprises Can Scale AI Without Scaling Risk
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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