Avira Resources Ltd (AVW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Avira Resources Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.1600 · fair‑value band A$0.0079 – A$0.0107 · the A$0.0070 price screens below the A$0.0093 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
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Avira Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, identifies, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral properties in Sweden and Australia. It explores for gold, copper, nickel, and cobalt deposits. The company holds interest in the Tangadee Project covering an area of 779 square kilometers located in the Ashburton region of Western Australia.
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Avira Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, identifies, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral properties in Sweden and Australia. It explores for gold, copper, nickel, and cobalt deposits. The company holds interest in the Tangadee Project covering an area of 779 square kilometers located in the Ashburton region of Western Australia. In addition, it holds interest in the Puolalaki Cu-Ni-Co project located in the Gällivare mining district in Sweden. The company was formerly known as Avira Energy Limited and changed its name to Avira Resources Limited in November 2017. Avira Resources Limited was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Avira Resources Ltd (AVW) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0093, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0079 (bear) to A$0.0107 (bull), the price of A$0.0070 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Avira Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$5.1K in FY2025 versus A$10.1K in FY2021, a compound −15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$646K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$4.6M (≈ $3.2M) · Return on equity −32.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −37.5% · Operating margin −14,881% · Revenue growth (YoY) +14.3% · Free cash flow −A$569K · Net cash A$338K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 33%, AVW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0079Fair Value A$0.0093Bull A$0.0107
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−82.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−62.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13,619.4% (2020) → −12,492.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 105 stocks
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Is Avira Resources Ltd (AVW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0093 versus a price of A$0.0070, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVW?
Our model-based fair value for Avira Resources Ltd is A$0.0093 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0070.
What is the quality score of AVW?
Avira Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0093 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0079, optimistic scenario A$0.0107. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avira Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0093, about +33% upside versus a price of A$0.0070 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0079, optimistic scenario A$0.0107. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avira Resources Ltd it is A$0.0093 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0070. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avira Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AVW trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0070, fair value A$0.0093, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0070); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0093). For Avira Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0023 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avira Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Avira Resources Ltd at about A$4.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0070; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0093 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVW?
Our models span a range for Avira Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0079, base A$0.0093, optimistic A$0.0107 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0070). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avira Resources Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −32.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVW from its 52-week high?
Avira Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0070, about 61% below its 52-week high of A$0.0180 and 17% above the low of A$0.0060 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0093 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avira Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avira Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0070, calculated fair value A$0.0093 (+33%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVW calculated?
We run Avira Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0093, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Avira Resources Ltd currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was A$0.0070. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0093, about +33% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avira Resources Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0079). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Avira Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
The market capitalisation of Avira Resources Ltd is A$4.6M (≈ $3.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avira Resources Ltd is −32.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avira Resources Ltd is −37.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
The operating margin of Avira Resources Ltd is −14,881% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avira Resources Ltd (AVW)?
Revenue at Avira Resources Ltd is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −62.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Avira Resources Ltd (AVW) generate?
The free cash flow of Avira Resources Ltd is −A$569K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Avira Resources Ltd (AVW) hold?
Avira Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$338K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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