Avira Resources Limited (AVW) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$4.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from A$0.0118 to A$0.0106 (−10.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −12.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 51% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0090). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.1600 · fair‑value band A$0.0090 – A$0.0122 · the A$0.0070 price screens below the A$0.0106 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Avira Resources Limited (AVW) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0106, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$505. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.5%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0090 (bear case) to A$0.0122 (bull case); at A$0.0070, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 51%, AVW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Avira Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, identifies, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral properties in Sweden and Australia. It explores for gold, copper, nickel, and cobalt deposits. The company holds interest in the Tangadee Project covering an area of 779 square kilometers located in the Ashburton region of Western Australia.
Full company description
Avira Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, identifies, explores for, evaluates, and develops mineral properties in Sweden and Australia. It explores for gold, copper, nickel, and cobalt deposits. The company holds interest in the Tangadee Project covering an area of 779 square kilometers located in the Ashburton region of Western Australia. In addition, it holds interest in the Puolalaki Cu-Ni-Co project located in the Gällivare mining district in Sweden. The company was formerly known as Avira Energy Limited and changed its name to Avira Resources Limited in November 2017. Avira Resources Limited was incorporated in 2008 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Avira Resources Limited reported revenue of A$5.1K in FY2025 versus A$10.1K in FY2021, a compound −15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$646K in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 579.75 MXN | 558.30 MXN | -4% |
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $14.52 | $8.15 | -44% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $29.82 | $29.96 | +0% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $8.12 | $9.90 | +22% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$24.78 | C$18.48 | -25% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$32.98 | C$21.86 | -34% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $28.10 | $16.03 | -43% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.01 | ¥13.23 | -37% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$26.10 | C$5.85 | -78% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥13.15 | ¥2.84 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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