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Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Accelerate Resources Ltd A$0.01, price A$0.01, upside +5.0%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000AX84

AR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Accelerate Resources Ltd

AX8 · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0053 · Fairly valued (+5%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.6 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (4/6)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0700 A$0.0040 Fair Value A$0.0053 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.0700 · the A$0.0050 price screens below the A$0.0053 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Accelerate Resources Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in Australia. The company explores for manganese, gold, lithium, and critical mineral deposits. Accelerate Resources Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8) currently trades at A$0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0053, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Accelerate Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$26.9K in FY2025 versus A$110K in FY2021, a compound −29.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$266K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$6.3M (≈ $4.4M) · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −20.5% · Operating margin −5,625% · Revenue (TTM) A$17.8K · Revenue growth (YoY) +146% · Free cash flow −A$2.3M · Net cash A$2.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 5%, AX8 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 2 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−47.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+161.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−946.8% (2020) → −5,908.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Below median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 146% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)40 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Accelerate Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AX8

Frequently asked questions

Is Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0053 versus a price of A$0.0050, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AX8?
Our model-based fair value for Accelerate Resources Ltd is A$0.0053 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0050.
What is the quality score of AX8?
Accelerate Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0053 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Accelerate Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0053, about +5% upside versus a price of A$0.0050 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
Accelerate Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$17.8K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Accelerate Resources Ltd it is A$0.0053 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0050. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Accelerate Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AX8 trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0050, fair value A$0.0053, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AX8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0053). For Accelerate Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0003 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Accelerate Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Accelerate Resources Ltd at about A$6.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0050; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0053 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
Balance-sheet figures for Accelerate Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AX8 from its 52-week high?
Accelerate Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0050, about 44% below its 52-week high of A$0.0090 and 25% above the low of A$0.0040 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0053 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Accelerate Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Accelerate Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0050, calculated fair value A$0.0053 (+5%), Quality Score 29/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AX8 calculated?
We run Accelerate Resources Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0053, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Accelerate Resources Ltd currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0050. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0053, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Accelerate Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Accelerate Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
The market capitalisation of Accelerate Resources Ltd is A$6.3M (≈ $4.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Accelerate Resources Ltd is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Accelerate Resources Ltd is −20.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
The operating margin of Accelerate Resources Ltd is −5,625% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8)?
Revenue at Accelerate Resources Ltd is growing +146% versus a year earlier (3y avg +162%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8) generate?
The free cash flow of Accelerate Resources Ltd is −A$2.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Accelerate Resources Ltd (AX8) hold?
Accelerate Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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