Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Antipa Minerals Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.47, upside -91.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1000 – A$0.8350 · fair‑value band A$0.0340 – A$0.0595 · the A$0.4700 price screens above the A$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
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Antipa Minerals Limited engages in the mineral exploration business in Australia. It explores for gold, copper, silver, uranium, and tungsten deposits.
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The company holds 100% interests in its flagship, the Minyari Dome project covering an area of 144 square kilometers located in the Paterson Province. Antipa Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY) currently trades at A$0.4700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0425, 91.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0340 (bear) to A$0.0595 (bull), the price of A$0.4700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Antipa Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$783K in FY2025 versus A$757K in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.9M in FY2026.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −91%, AZY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0340Fair Value A$0.0425BullA$0.0595
Price A$0.4700 · Upside -91.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0400A$0.0500A$0.070052
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.0400A$0.0500A$0.070052
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.8/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+262.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +43.9% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−398.6% (2020) → −502.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 99 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside−91.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)264.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.27× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 84
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0425 versus a price of A$0.4700, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AZY?
Our model-based fair value for Antipa Minerals Ltd is A$0.0425 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.4700.
What is the quality score of AZY?
Antipa Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0425 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0595. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Antipa Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0425, about −91% upside versus a price of A$0.4700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0340, optimistic scenario A$0.0595. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
Antipa Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.7M (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Antipa Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0425 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of A$0.4700. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Antipa Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, AZY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.4700, fair value A$0.0425, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AZY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.4700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0425). For Antipa Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.4275 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Antipa Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Antipa Minerals Ltd at about A$312M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is A$0.4700; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0425 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AZY?
Our models span a range for Antipa Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0340, base A$0.0425, optimistic A$0.0595 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price A$0.4700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Antipa Minerals Ltd (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −5.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AZY from its 52-week high?
Antipa Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.4700, about 44% below its 52-week high of A$0.8350 and 7% above the low of A$0.4400 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0425 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Antipa Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, China Gold International Resources Corp, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Antipa Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price A$0.4700, calculated fair value A$0.0425 (−91%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AZY calculated?
We run Antipa Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0425, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Antipa Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was A$0.4700. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0425, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Antipa Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Antipa Minerals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
The market capitalisation of Antipa Minerals Ltd is A$312M (≈ $219M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
Earnings per share at Antipa Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Antipa Minerals Ltd is −5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Antipa Minerals Ltd is −5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
The operating margin of Antipa Minerals Ltd is 250% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY)?
Revenue at Antipa Minerals Ltd is growing +264% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY) generate?
The free cash flow of Antipa Minerals Ltd is −A$2.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Antipa Minerals Ltd (AZY) hold?
Antipa Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$39.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 30, 2026