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The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $101B

TP The PNC Financial Services Group logo The PNC Financial Services Group PNC · US
Price$252.76
Fair Value$224.54
Upside-11.2%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 31.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.67% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $168.41 – $280.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $168.41 (bear) to $280.68 (bull), base $224.54. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$255.37 $99.44 Fair Value $224.54 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $99.44 – $255.37 · fair‑value band $168.41 – $280.68 · the $252.76 price screens above the $224.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) currently trades at $252.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $224.54, implying the stock looks roughly 11.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The PNC Financial Services Group generated revenue of $23.0B at a net margin of 31.3%. Revenue grew 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at $17.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $168.41 (bear case) to $280.68 (bull case); at $252.76, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -11%, PNC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $82.13 $141.84 $227.00 80
Residual Income $137.99 $159.45 $284.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF $84.32 $162.11 $250.80 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $79.85 $146.99 $248.75 38
5Y Revenue Exit $84.32 $162.12 $261.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $124.15 $236.26 $366.73 41
5Y P/E Exit $149.45 $283.35 $423.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit $77.39 $147.93 $241.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $106.87 $199.27 $322.18 37
10Y P/E Exit $122.97 $231.88 $365.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $117.45 $356.35 $472.71 54
Lynch FV $76.17 $108.82 $141.46 50
PEG = 1.0 $76.17 $108.82 $141.46 46
EPV $122.65 $150.30 $174.50 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $67.29 $139.91 $221.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage $67.29 $110.03 $146.84 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $259.09 $345.45 $431.81 63
P/S Multiple $146.34 $195.12 $243.91 58
P/B Multiple $220.22 $293.63 $367.04 55
EV/EBIT $241.99 $337.08 $432.18 53
EV/EBITDA $171.99 $243.75 $315.52 54
EV/Revenue $93.29 $151.82 $210.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $75.44 $101.08 $150.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $82.13 $141.84 $227.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $84.32 $162.11 $250.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $137.99 $159.45 $284.50 76
ROIC Compounder $122.65 $150.30 $198.64 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $213.45 $304.93 $396.41 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($304.93) versus Asset-Based ($101.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $23.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.8%
Net margin 31.3%
Return on equity 12.1%
Free cash flow $4.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.6
More key figures
Operating margin 36.7%
EPS (TTM) $17.21
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.7%
Net debt $17.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management Group segments.

Full company description

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management Group segments. The Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, and time deposit; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education loans, and personal and small business loans and lines of credit; and brokerage, insurance, and investment and cash management services. This segment serves consumer and small business customers through a network of branches, digital channels, ATMs, and through phone-based customer contact centers. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment provides secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases; cash and investment management, receivables and disbursement management, funds transfer, international payment, and access to online/mobile information management and reporting services; asset-backed financing, securities underwriting, loan syndications, mergers and acquisitions and equity capital markets advisory, and customer related services; and commercial loan servicing and technology solutions. It serves mid-sized and large corporations, and government and not-for-profit entities. The Asset Management Group segment offers investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, credit and cash management solutions, and trust management and administration services for high net worth and ultra high net worth individuals, and their families; and multi-generational family planning services. It also offers outsourced chief investment officer, custody, cash and fixed income client solutions, and retirement plan fiduciary investment services for institutional clients. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The PNC Financial Services Group reported revenue of $31.3B in FY2025 versus $19.7B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9B in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$31.3B
Latest YoY
−7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+5.4%
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 $19.7B
FY22 $23.5B
FY23 $31.9B
FY24 $33.7B
FY25 $31.3B
Net income +5.1%/yr
FY21 $5.7B
FY22 $6.0B
FY23 $5.6B
FY24 $5.9B
FY25 $6.9B

PNC screens 11% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The PNC Financial Services Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.00× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 39
FUTURE 69 · sector 44
PAST 48 · sector 41
HEALTH 53 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 49

Insider activity: 54/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $224.54 versus a price of $252.76, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PNC?
Our model-based fair value for The PNC Financial Services Group is $224.54 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $252.76.
What is the quality score of PNC?
The PNC Financial Services Group has a Quality Score of 67/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The PNC Financial Services Group (PNC)?
The PNC Financial Services Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNC?
The net profit margin of The PNC Financial Services Group is about 31.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The PNC Financial Services Group pay a dividend?
The PNC Financial Services Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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