BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc (BCRX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc stock $17.01, price $7.69, upside +121.2%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc
BCRX · USThe stock costs 55% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.13 – $19.76 · fair‑value band $11.26 – $22.12 · the $7.69 price screens below the $17.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Company profile
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, developing and commercializing medicines for hereditary angioedema (HAE) and other rare diseases.
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The company markets peramivir injection, an intravenous neuraminidase inhibitor for the treatment of acute uncomplicated and seasonal influenza under the RAPIVAB, RAPIACTA, and PERAMIFLU names; and ORLADEYO, an oral serine protease inhibitor to treat HAE. It is also developing BCX17725, a protein therapeutic for netherton syndrome which is in phase 1; Avoralstat, an ocular plasma kallikrein inhibitor for diabetic macular edema that is in Phase 1; Navenibart, a monoclonal antibody plasma kallikrein inhibitor for HAE which is in Phase 3; BCX17725, an investigational protein therapeutic KLK5 inhibitor for the treatment of netherton syndrome that is in phase 1 clinical trial; STAR-0310, a monoclonal antibody OX40 antagonist for the treatment of atopic dermatitis which is in Phase 1a trial.
The company has collaborations and in-license relationships with the Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Shionogi & Co., Ltd., and Green Cross Corporation; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; and The University of Alabama at Birmingham, as well as Albert Einstein College of Medicine of Yeshiva University and Industrial Research, Ltd. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
Stock analysis
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc (BCRX) currently trades at $7.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.01, implying the stock looks roughly 55% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $20.01 per share, and 19 of the 21 models we run sit above the $7.69 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.86, and 2 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $11.26 (bear) to $22.12 (bull), the price of $7.69 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $875M in FY2025 versus $157M in FY2021, a compound +53.6%/yr. Reported net income was $264M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B Mid · P/S ratio 2.04 · EPS (TTM) $−1.28 · Net margin −37.4% · Return on equity −1,925% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 29.6% · Revenue (TTM) $962M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 121%, BCRX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 21 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $696,535 and none bought.
- SaleAmy E McKeeDirector11,180 shares at $8.97$100,285May 18, 2026
- SaleAlane P BarnesChief Legal Officer5× since Dec 1, 2025: 417,163 shares, avg. $8.30$3.5MMay 13, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleTheresa HeggieDirector49,933 shares at $10.11$504,823Mar 20, 2026
- SaleMachelle SandersDirector9,600 shares at $7.14$68,544Nov 13, 202510b5-1 plan
Plus 20 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Watch BCRX, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
- BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc (BCRX) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: ORLADEYO Revenue Climbs ...
- BioCryst to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferences
- BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
- BioCryst: Q3 Earnings Snapshot
Compare BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 549 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Revenue growth by industry
- PEG ratio by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $79.40 | $111.63 | +41% | vs BCRX |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥50.43 | ¥55.21 | +9% | vs BCRX |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,860 | ₹1,947 | +5% | vs BCRX |
| Haleon plc HLN | $9.14 | $8.61 | −6% | vs BCRX |
| Merck KGaA MRK | €148.75 | €109.18 | −27% | vs BCRX |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 191.75 | CHF 109.86 | −43% | vs BCRX |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $21.02 | $11.31 | −46% | vs BCRX |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $42.61 | $20.74 | −51% | vs BCRX |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 83.78 | CHF 39.70 | −53% | vs BCRX |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹10,321 | ₹1,567 | −85% | vs BCRX |
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Key figures of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc
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