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BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of BC Technology Group Limited $0.41, price $1.25, upside -67.2%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · Home Hong Kong

BT BC Technology Group Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

BC Technology Group Limited

BCTCF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.4100 · Strongly overvalued (−67.2%)
!Quality 22/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -79.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.82 $0.0100 Fair Value $0.4100 Oct 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

48‑month range $0.0100 – $2.82 · fair‑value band $0.2700 – $0.5100 · the $1.25 price screens above the $0.4100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

OSL Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in digital assets and blockchain platform business in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and Mainland China. It is involved in the trading of digital assets, brokerage, custody, exchange, and SaaS services.

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OSL Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in digital assets and blockchain platform business in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and Mainland China. It is involved in the trading of digital assets, brokerage, custody, exchange, and SaaS services. The company also provides automated digital assets trading services through its proprietary platforms and licensing of its proprietary platforms; licenses its digital asset exchange platform and related technology solutions; consultancy services to white label customers; and secured storage of digital asset services. In addition, it develops and sells intellectual property in relation to digital assets exchange platform; and provides corporate treasury and technical services; and safekeeping services for client assets, as well as payments service for the cryptocurrency exchanges. The company was formerly known as BC Technology Group Limited and changed its name to OSL Group Limited in January 2024. OSL Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF) currently trades at $1.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4100, 67.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.2700 (bear) to $0.5100 (bull), the price of $1.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

BC Technology Group Limited reported revenue of HK$489M in FY2025 versus HK$265M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$387M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.3B · P/S ratio 2.76 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0700 · Net margin −79.1% · Return on equity −17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −107% · Revenue (TTM) $489M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −67%, BCTCF screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−123.1% (2020) → −86.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BCTCF screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 462 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −79.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −106.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16.9% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.76× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)85 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $188.08 $314.07 +67%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $900.36 $766.86 −15%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $97.74 $118.07 +21%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $89.24 $23.12 −74%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $116.22 $47.77 −59%
Macquarie Group MQG A$245.63 A$80.51 −67%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.29 ¥18.35 −30%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.21 ¥19.35 +12%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.28 ¥4.94 −73%
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.91 $10.19 +3%

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BC Technology Group Limited · Fair Value
$0.4100 −67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BC Technology Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCTCF

Frequently asked questions

Is BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4100 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.25, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BCTCF?
Our model-based fair value for BC Technology Group Limited is $0.4100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $1.25.
What is the quality score of BCTCF?
BC Technology Group Limited has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2700, optimistic scenario $0.5100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BC Technology Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4100, about −67% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $1.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2700, optimistic scenario $0.5100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
BC Technology Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $489M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BC Technology Group Limited it is $0.4100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.25. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BC Technology Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, BCTCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.25, fair value $0.4100, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCTCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4100). For BC Technology Group Limited the two are $0.8400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BC Technology Group Limited worth?
The market values BC Technology Group Limited at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.25; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCTCF?
Our models span a range for BC Technology Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.2700, base $0.4100, optimistic $0.5100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for BC Technology Group Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCTCF from its 52-week high?
BC Technology Group Limited trades at $1.25, about 54% below its 52-week high of $2.70 and 9% above the low of $1.15 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BC Technology Group Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BC Technology Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.25, calculated fair value $0.4100 (−67%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCTCF calculated?
We run BC Technology Group Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BC Technology Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $1.25. Our model-based fair value is $0.4100, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BC Technology Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.2700 to $0.5100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of BC Technology Group Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
The market capitalisation of BC Technology Group Limited is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BC Technology Group Limited is 2.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
Earnings per share at BC Technology Group Limited are $−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
The net margin of BC Technology Group Limited is −79.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BC Technology Group Limited is −17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BC Technology Group Limited is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
The operating margin of BC Technology Group Limited is −107% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF)?
Revenue at BC Technology Group Limited is growing +16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +89.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF) generate?
The free cash flow of BC Technology Group Limited is −$1.5B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does BC Technology Group Limited (BCTCF) hold?
BC Technology Group Limited holds more cash than debt, $2.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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