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Biodexa Pharmaceticals (BDRX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $2.2M · ISIN GB00BNGF1L75

What is Biodexa Pharmaceticals really worth?

BP Biodexa Pharmaceticals logo Biodexa Pharmaceticals BDRX · US
Price$0.7850
Fair Value$1.15
Upside+46.5%
Quality22/100

Below-average quality, trading 32% below our fair value of $1.15.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −27.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.7600 – $1.43

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from $4.42 to $1.15 (−74.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −44.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (22/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.7600 to $1.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,000,000 $0.7808 Fair Value $1.15 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7808 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.7600 – $1.43 · the $0.7850 price screens below the $1.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Biodexa Pharmaceticals (BDRX) currently trades at $0.7850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.15, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $83.0K. Revenue declined 64.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −64.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.5M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7600 (bear case) to $1.43 (bull case); at $0.7850, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 47%, BDRX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.99 $2.67 $3.98 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.99 $2.67 $3.98 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 27.1 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−3.36
Return on equity −64.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −79.9% avg 5y
Revenue (TTM) $83.0K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −64.1%
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$5.4M FY2025
Net cash $8.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc, a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing a pipeline of products for the treatment of familial adenomatous polyposis, non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, and Type 1 diabetes and rare/orphan brain cancer.

Full company description

Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc, a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing a pipeline of products for the treatment of familial adenomatous polyposis, non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, and Type 1 diabetes and rare/orphan brain cancer. Its lead product candidate, Tolimidone, is a selective activator of the lyn kinase enzyme, currently under Phase II studies for the treatment of Type 1 diabetes. The company is also developing MTX110, which is currently in Phase I studies for the treatment of recurrent glioblastoma, diffuse midline glioma, and medulloblastoma; and MTX240, for the treatment of gastrointestinal stromal tumors. In addition, the company offers drug delivery platforms, such as Q-Sphera, a polymer microsphere microtechnology used for sustained release therapeutics; MidaSolve, nanotechnology used to dissolve insoluble drugs so that they can be administered in liquid form directly and locally into tumours; and MidaCore, a gold nanoparticle used for targeting sites of disease. It has collaboration agreements with Janssen and Melior. The company was formerly known as Midatech Pharma plc and changed its name to Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc in March 2023. Biodexa Pharmaceuticals Plc was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Cardiff, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Biodexa Pharmaceticals reported revenue of £0 in FY2025 versus £578K in FY2021. Reported net income was −£6.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
$381K
Latest YoY
−45.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 £578K
FY22 £699K
FY23 £381K
FY24 £0
FY25 £0
Net income
FY21 −£5.5M
FY22 −£7.7M
FY23 −£7.1M
FY24 −£5.7M
FY25 −£6.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Biodexa Pharmaceticals Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BDRX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 636 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +47% · Top 25%
Return on assets −33% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth −64% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 27.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE95 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 −26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,518,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −30%
CSL Limited CSL A$173.88 A$142.22 −18%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $362.51 $111.35 −69%
BioNTech SE 22UA €80.60 €52.92 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Biodexa Pharmaceticals (BDRX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.15 versus a price of $0.7850, about +47% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BDRX?
Our model-based fair value for Biodexa Pharmaceticals is $1.15 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7850.
What is the quality score of BDRX?
Biodexa Pharmaceticals has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Biodexa Pharmaceticals (BDRX)?
Biodexa Pharmaceticals reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $83.0K (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BDRX?
The net profit margin of Biodexa Pharmaceticals is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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