Biodesix, Inc (BDSX) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $158M
Biodesix, Inc
BDSX · US
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price +16.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.40 – $327.20 · fair‑value band $19.07 – $31.78 · the $23.50 price screens below the $25.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Biodesix, Inc (BDSX) currently trades at $23.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.42, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Biodesix, Inc generated revenue of $96.1M at a net margin of -33.3%. Revenue grew 42.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $53.9M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.07 (bear case) to $31.78 (bull case); at $23.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 370% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 8%, BDSX screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Biodesix, Inc. operates as a diagnostic solutions company. The company offers blood-based lung tests, including Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT tests markets as Nodify Lung Nodule Risk Assessment testing to assess the risk of lung cancer and help in identifying the appropriate treatment pathway and help physicians in reclassifying risk of malignancy in patients …
Full company description
Biodesix, Inc. operates as a diagnostic solutions company. The company offers blood-based lung tests, including Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT tests markets as Nodify Lung Nodule Risk Assessment testing to assess the risk of lung cancer and help in identifying the appropriate treatment pathway and help physicians in reclassifying risk of malignancy in patients with suspicious lung nodules. It also provides GeneStrat ddPCR, GeneStrat NGS, and VeriStrat tests markets as part of IQLung testing strategy, which are used in the diagnosis of lung cancer to measure the presence of mutations in the tumor and the state of the patient's immune system to guide treatment decisions. In addition, the company provides diagnostic solutions, including translational research, initial biomarker discovery, assay design, development and validation, testing of clinical trial samples, regulatory, reimbursement, commercialization, and logistical support services for biopharmaceutical, life sciences, and diagnostic companies. Further, it operates laboratories. The company was formerly known as Elston Technologies, Inc. and as changed to Biodesix, Inc. in 2006. Biodesix, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Louisville, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Biodesix, Inc reported revenue of $88.5M in FY2025 versus $54.5M in FY2021, a compound +12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$35.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Diagnostics & Research · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO | $543.19 | $308.19 | -43% |
| Danaher Corporation DHR | $199.66 | $103.88 | -48% |
| WuXi AppTec Co 2359 | HK$160.70 | HK$125.20 | -22% |
| Lonza Group LONN | CHF 567.80 | CHF 259.80 | -54% |
| IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX | $567.44 | $255.77 | -55% |
| Agilent Technologies, Inc A | $131.46 | $62.70 | -52% |
| Waters Corporation WAT | $368.98 | $121.96 | -67% |
| IQVIA Holdings IQV | $207.85 | $134.18 | -35% |
| Integrated Diagnostics Holdings IDHC | $0.0050 | $0.0053 | +5% |
| Illumina, Inc ILMN | $186.65 | $95.51 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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