Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Nokian Panimo Oyj €0.83, price €2.52, upside -67.1%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range €2.27 – €2.67 · fair‑value band €0.6700 – €0.9600 · the €2.52 price screens above the €0.8300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Nokian Panimo Oyj engages in the brewery business in Finland. It offers cider, beer, soft drinks, and other drink products. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Nokia, Finland.
Stock analysis
Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER) currently trades at €2.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.8300, implying the stock looks roughly 203.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €2.13 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €2.52 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.8700, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €0.6700 (bear) to €0.9600 (bull), the price of €2.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Nokian Panimo Oyj reported revenue of €13.0M in FY2025 versus €9.3M in FY2022, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was −€69.0K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €25.4M · P/S ratio 2.05 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0100 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% · Operating margin 13.3% · Revenue (TTM) €13.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −67%, BEER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.6700Fair Value €0.8300Bull €0.9600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.2% (2022) → 11.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Brewers · 58 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.18× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA16.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)66· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 67
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.8300 versus a price of €2.52, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BEER?
Our model-based fair value for Nokian Panimo Oyj is €0.8300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.52.
What is the quality score of BEER?
Nokian Panimo Oyj has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.8300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.6700, optimistic scenario €0.9600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nokian Panimo Oyj stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.8300, about −67% upside versus a price of €2.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.6700, optimistic scenario €0.9600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Nokian Panimo Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nokian Panimo Oyj it is €0.8300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.52. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nokian Panimo Oyj stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, BEER trades above its calculated fair value: price €2.52, fair value €0.8300, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BEER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.8300). For Nokian Panimo Oyj the two are €1.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nokian Panimo Oyj worth?
The market values Nokian Panimo Oyj at about €25.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.52; our models calculate a fair value of €0.8300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BEER?
Our models span a range for Nokian Panimo Oyj: cautious scenario €0.6700, base €0.8300, optimistic €0.9600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nokian Panimo Oyj (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BEER from its 52-week high?
Nokian Panimo Oyj trades at €2.52, about 6% below its 52-week high of €2.67 and 11% above the low of €2.27 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.8300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nokian Panimo Oyj?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Anheuser-Busch InBev SA, Heineken N.V, Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A., Constellation Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nokian Panimo Oyj stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.52, calculated fair value €0.8300 (−67%), Quality Score 33/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BEER calculated?
We run Nokian Panimo Oyj through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.8300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nokian Panimo Oyj itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €2.52. Our model-based fair value is €0.8300, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nokian Panimo Oyj right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.9600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Nokian Panimo Oyj
How large is the market capitalisation of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
The market capitalisation of Nokian Panimo Oyj is €25.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nokian Panimo Oyj is 2.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Earnings per share at Nokian Panimo Oyj are €−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
The net margin of Nokian Panimo Oyj is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nokian Panimo Oyj is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nokian Panimo Oyj is 9.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
The operating margin of Nokian Panimo Oyj is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Revenue at Nokian Panimo Oyj is growing +13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER)?
Earnings per share at Nokian Panimo Oyj are growing +83.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER) generate?
The free cash flow of Nokian Panimo Oyj is −€3.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nokian Panimo Oyj (BEER) carry?
The net debt of Nokian Panimo Oyj is €4.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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