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Chongqing Brewery Co (600132) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 21.7B CNY

CB Chongqing Brewery Co 600132 · SHG
Price¥44.06
Fair Value¥53.41
Upside+21.2%
Quality80/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.45% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥40.06 – ¥66.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥40.06 (bear) to ¥66.76 (bull), base ¥53.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 80/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥172.27 ¥41.24 Fair Value ¥53.41 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥41.24 – ¥172.27 · fair‑value band ¥40.06 – ¥66.76 · the ¥44.06 price screens below the ¥53.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongqing Brewery Co (600132) currently trades at ¥44.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥53.41, implying the stock looks roughly 21.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Brewery Co generated revenue of 14.7B CNY at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue declined 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 67.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 637M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥40.06 (bear case) to ¥66.76 (bull case); at ¥44.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 21%, 600132 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥60.70 ¥108.84 ¥192.43 80
Residual Income ¥10.23 ¥12.23 ¥65.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥41.73 ¥69.54 ¥106.49 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥61.54 ¥115.18 ¥211.67 38
Owner Earnings ¥40.26 ¥75.10 ¥137.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥41.73 ¥70.00 ¥108.20 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥69.14 ¥127.91 ¥203.21 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥45.47 ¥77.88 ¥115.25 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥46.68 ¥76.19 ¥121.46 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥66.17 ¥119.23 ¥202.94 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥50.31 ¥82.05 ¥127.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥17.29 ¥87.14 ¥120.30 54
Lynch FV ¥23.62 ¥33.75 ¥43.87 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥23.62 ¥33.75 ¥43.87 46
EPV ¥48.86 ¥56.86 ¥63.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥20.20 ¥42.00 ¥66.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥20.20 ¥35.42 ¥44.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥40.06 ¥53.41 ¥66.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥32.43 ¥43.24 ¥54.05 58
P/B Multiple ¥11.74 ¥15.65 ¥19.56 55
EV/EBIT ¥85.25 ¥113.40 ¥141.55 53
EV/EBITDA ¥77.89 ¥103.58 ¥129.28 54
EV/Revenue ¥32.74 ¥46.43 ¥60.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.42 ¥1.91 ¥2.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥60.70 ¥108.84 ¥192.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥41.73 ¥69.54 ¥106.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.23 ¥12.23 ¥65.16 76
ROIC Compounder ¥50.07 ¥59.69 ¥69.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥35.93 ¥51.33 ¥66.73 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥77.88) versus Asset-Based (¥1.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 14.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.1%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 67.4%
Free cash flow 2.2B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.7
More key figures
Operating margin 26.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.40
Dividend yield 5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.2%
Net cash 637M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 83
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chongqing Brewery Co., Ltd. engages in production and sales of beers products in China. It sells its products under the Carlsberg, Tuborg, 1664, Brooklyn, Summer Fun, Somersby, Wusu, Chongqing, Shancheng, Xixia, Dali, Fenghuaxueyue, and Jing-A brands. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Brewery Co reported revenue of ¥14.7B in FY2025 versus ¥13.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
14.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+15.3%
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 ¥13.1B
FY22 ¥14.0B
FY23 ¥14.8B
FY24 ¥14.6B
FY25 ¥14.7B
Net income +1.4%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongqing Brewery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600132

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 67% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 15.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.23× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 62 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 3
PAST 100 · sector 36
HEALTH 87 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI €73.62 €41.60 -43%
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 6,060 ARS -57%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD 222.91 MXN 201.74 MXN -9%
Heineken N.V HEIA €77.24 €65.06 -16%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $135.72 $177.43 +31%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,125 kr 607.30 -46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €71.20 €72.67 +2%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.60 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.58 HK$6.05 -8%
Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA C$63.10 C$74.42 +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongqing Brewery Co (600132) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥53.41 versus a price of ¥44.06, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600132?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Brewery Co is ¥53.41 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥44.06.
What is the quality score of 600132?
Chongqing Brewery Co has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Brewery Co (600132)?
Chongqing Brewery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600132?
The net profit margin of Chongqing Brewery Co is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chongqing Brewery Co pay a dividend?
Chongqing Brewery Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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