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Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $6.2B

BR Brookfield Renewable Corporation logo Brookfield Renewable Corporation BEPC · US
Price$33.74
Fair Value$62.74
Upside+86.0%
Quality16/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -122.4% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
4.62% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: Medium Range $22.96 – $102.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −6.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 86% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (16/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($22.96 to $102.52). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$43.52 $19.40 Fair Value $62.74 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.40 – $43.52 · fair‑value band $22.96 – $102.52 · the $33.74 price screens below the $62.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC) currently trades at $33.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $62.74, implying the stock looks roughly 86.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.7B. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -47.8%. Net debt stands at $20.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.96 (bear case) to $102.52 (bull case); at $33.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 86%, BEPC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $37.54 $61.75 $89.20 72
Gordon GGM $0.2400 $0.4900 $0.7400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2400 $0.3800 $0.5100 61
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $32.52 $47.78 $60.95 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2400 $0.4900 $0.7400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2400 $0.3800 $0.5100 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $68.78 $113.09 $157.41 53
EV/EBITDA $76.23 $123.03 $169.83 54
EV/Revenue $3.27 43
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $37.54 $61.75 $89.20 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($113.09) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3800). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.6%
Net margin -122%
Return on equity -47.8%
Free cash flow −$633M FY2025
Operating margin 14.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-25.06
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -98.9%
Net debt $20.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 16/100

Of which business quality 18 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels.

Full company description

Brookfield Renewable Corporation owns and operates a portfolio of renewable power and sustainable solution assets. The company's portfolio consists of hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, distributed generation, pumped storage, carbon capture and storage, cogeneration, biomass, and eFuels. Its operations consist of approximately 13,396 megawatts of installed hydroelectric, wind, utility-scale solar, and distributed energy and sustainable solutions capacity across North America, South America, and Europe. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Brookfield Renewable Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Brookfield Renewable Corporation reported revenue of $3.7B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.3B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.7B
Latest YoY
−10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+15.4%
Revenue +2.1%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.0B
FY24 $4.1B
FY25 $3.7B
Net income
FY21 $946M
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 −$181M
FY24 $236M
FY25 −$2.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brookfield Renewable Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BEPC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 16 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +86% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -122% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.67× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.30× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 100 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 92 · sector 48

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $62.74 versus a price of $33.74, about +86% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BEPC?
Our model-based fair value for Brookfield Renewable Corporation is $62.74 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $33.74.
What is the quality score of BEPC?
Brookfield Renewable Corporation has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Brookfield Renewable Corporation (BEPC)?
Brookfield Renewable Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BEPC?
The net profit margin of Brookfield Renewable Corporation is about -122.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Brookfield Renewable Corporation pay a dividend?
Brookfield Renewable Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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