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Burgenland Holding (BHD) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · AT · Market cap €252M

BH Burgenland Holding BHD · VI
Price€82.50
Fair Value€49.53
Upside-40.0%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range €33.76 – €61.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€61.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (€33.76 to €61.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€86.00 €60.06 Fair Value €49.53 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €60.06 – €86.00 · fair‑value band €33.76 – €61.91 · the €82.50 price screens above the €49.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Burgenland Holding (BHD) currently trades at €82.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €49.53, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €220. Revenue declined 50.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €33.76 (bear case) to €61.91 (bull case); at €82.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -40%, BHD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €30.31 €38.19 €46.84 72
Growth-Adj P/E €41.34 €59.05 €76.77 68
P/E Multiple €54.63 €72.84 €91.05 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €29.94 €38.62 €48.57 38
5Y Revenue Exit €17.27 €21.18 €25.55 39
5Y P/E Exit €39.53 €60.45 €81.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit €22.74 €26.97 €31.54 36
10Y P/E Exit €34.76 €49.57 €65.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €27.52 €62.20 €79.62 54
PEG = 1.0 €10.23 €14.61 €18.99 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple €54.63 €72.84 €91.05 63
P/S Multiple €7.77 €10.36 €12.96 58
P/B Multiple €37.15 €49.53 €61.91 55
EV/Revenue €7.26 €10.37 €13.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €13.76 €18.44 €27.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €30.31 €38.19 €46.84 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €24.53 €28.57 €50.05 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €41.34 €59.05 €76.77 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€59.05) versus Multiples (€10.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €220
Revenue growth (YoY) -50.0%
Net margin 5,518,195%
Return on equity 14.8%
Free cash flow €11.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.9
More key figures
Operating margin -64,533%
EPS (TTM) €4.02
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft, through its investment in Burgenland Energie AG, engaged in the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and natural gas. The company also focuses on renewable energy production, including wind and photovoltaic power. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Eisenstadt, Austria.

Full company description

Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft, through its investment in Burgenland Energie AG, engaged in the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and natural gas. The company also focuses on renewable energy production, including wind and photovoltaic power. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Eisenstadt, Austria. Burgenland Holding Aktiengesellschaft is a subsidiary of EVN AG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Burgenland Holding reported revenue of €12.4M in FY2025 versus €10.6M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was €12.1M in FY2025, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€12.4M
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 €10.6M
FY22 €10.6M
FY23 €11.7M
FY24 €12.0M
FY25 €12.4M
Net income +4.0%/yr
FY21 €10.4M
FY22 €10.3M
FY23 €11.4M
FY24 €11.7M
FY25 €12.1M

BHD screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Burgenland Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHD

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −40% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -50% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 25.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 59 · sector 33
HEALTH 0 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Burgenland Holding (BHD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €49.53 versus a price of €82.50, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BHD?
Our model-based fair value for Burgenland Holding is €49.53 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €82.50.
What is the quality score of BHD?
Burgenland Holding has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Burgenland Holding (BHD)?
Burgenland Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €220 (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
Does Burgenland Holding pay a dividend?
Burgenland Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.06% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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