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Enel SpA (ENEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · IT · Market cap €97.2B

ES Enel SpA ENEL · MI
Price€9.97
Fair Value€10.49
Upside+5.3%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.2% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
5.07% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range €7.34 – €12.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €5.83 to €10.49 (+80.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from €7.34 (bear) to €12.26 (bull), base €10.49. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€10.28 €3.21 Fair Value €10.49 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.21 – €10.28 · fair‑value band €7.34 – €12.26 · the €9.97 price screens below the €10.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Enel SpA (ENEL) currently trades at €9.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.49, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Enel SpA generated revenue of €77.9B at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue declined 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at €60.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €7.34 (bear case) to €12.26 (bull case); at €9.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 5%, ENEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €1.03 €3.77 80
Residual Income €3.10 €3.67 €6.28 76
Rev-Margin DCF €0.0500 €1.97 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.8800 €3.94 38
Owner Earnings €0.5800 €3.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit €2.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.41 €8.43 €15.11 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.0100 €2.57 €5.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit €1.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.74 €5.10 €8.78 37
10Y P/E Exit €1.44 €3.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.90 €3.71 €4.22 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.36 €5.87 €6.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.36 €6.78 €8.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €6.39 €8.52 €10.64 63
P/S Multiple €5.43 €7.24 €9.05 58
P/B Multiple €5.43 €7.24 €9.05 55
EV/EBIT €1.50 €3.12 53
EV/EBITDA €7.84 €12.12 €16.39 54
EV/Revenue €1.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.62 €2.17 €3.23 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.03 €3.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.0500 €1.97 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.10 €3.67 €6.28 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €4.52 €6.45 €8.39 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€7.24) versus Growth DCF (€0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €77.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.7%
Net margin 5.2%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow €4.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 25.8
More key figures
Operating margin 19.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.3800
Dividend yield 5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.3%
Net debt €60.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Enel SpA operates as an integrated operator in the electricity and gas industries worldwide. The company operates through the Thermal Generation and Trading, Enel Green Power, Enel Grids, and End-User Markets segments. It operates renewable, nuclear, wind, hydroelectric, thermal, solar, and geothermal power plants.

Full company description

Enel SpA operates as an integrated operator in the electricity and gas industries worldwide. The company operates through the Thermal Generation and Trading, Enel Green Power, Enel Grids, and End-User Markets segments. It operates renewable, nuclear, wind, hydroelectric, thermal, solar, and geothermal power plants. The company also generates, distributes, transmits, and sells electricity. In addition, it provides solutions and technologies for the electrification of cities, such as smart cities and street lighting; for businesses, including energy efficiency and demand response; and for individuals, including energy efficiency solutions for houses and apartment buildings. Further, the company engages in the sale of energy commodities. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Enel SpA reported revenue of €67.5B in FY2025 versus €96.5B in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was €4.2B in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€67.5B
Latest YoY
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−22.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+3.8%
Revenue −8.6%/yr
FY21 €96.5B
FY22 €142B
FY23 €91.4B
FY24 €70.6B
FY25 €67.5B
Net income +7.3%/yr
FY21 €3.2B
FY22 €5.2B
FY23 €3.8B
FY24 €7.0B
FY25 €4.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Enel SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENEL

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.70× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 26.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.90× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 40 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 43 · sector 33
HEALTH 15 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 80

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Engie SA 1ENGI €27.14 €21.32 -21%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.66 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$10.38 A$10.36 -0%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Enel SpA (ENEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.49 versus a price of €9.97, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ENEL?
Our model-based fair value for Enel SpA is €10.49 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €9.97.
What is the quality score of ENEL?
Enel SpA has a Quality Score of 54/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Enel SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €77.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ENEL?
The net profit margin of Enel SpA is about 5.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Enel SpA pay a dividend?
Enel SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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