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Enel SpA (ENEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Enel SpA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · IT · ISIN IT0003128367

ES Enel SpA logo Some data Sep 17, 2026

Enel SpA

ENEL · MI

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value €6.68 · Overvalued (−25%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·5.48% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 15 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€10.15 €3.13 Fair Value €6.68 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.13 – €10.15 · fair‑value band €5.24 – €8.57 · the €8.95 price screens above the €6.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

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Company profile

Enel SpA operates as an integrated operator in the electricity and gas industries worldwide. The company operates through the Thermal Generation and Trading, Enel Green Power, Enel Grids, and End-User Markets segments. It operates renewable, nuclear, wind, hydroelectric, thermal, solar, and geothermal power plants.

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Enel SpA operates as an integrated operator in the electricity and gas industries worldwide. The company operates through the Thermal Generation and Trading, Enel Green Power, Enel Grids, and End-User Markets segments. It operates renewable, nuclear, wind, hydroelectric, thermal, solar, and geothermal power plants. The company also generates, distributes, transmits, and sells electricity. In addition, it provides solutions and technologies for the electrification of cities, such as smart cities and street lighting; for businesses, including energy efficiency and demand response; and for individuals, including energy efficiency solutions for houses and apartment buildings. Further, the company engages in the sale of energy commodities. The company was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.

Stock analysis

Enel SpA (ENEL) currently trades at €8.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.68, implying the stock looks roughly 34.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.24 per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the €8.95 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €1.08, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €5.24 (bear) to €8.57 (bull), the price of €8.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Enel SpA reported revenue of €67.5B in FY2025 versus €96.5B in FY2021, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was €4.2B in FY2025, compounding +7.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €97.7B · P/E ratio 23.5 · P/S ratio 1.47 · EPS (TTM) €0.3800 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −25%, ENEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €5.24 Fair Value €6.68 Bull €8.57
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a €0.8800 €3.94 77
Growth DCF n/a €1.03 €3.77 75
Residual Income €3.10 €3.67 €6.28 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a €0.8800 €3.94 77
Owner Earnings n/a €0.5800 €3.48 73
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a €2.07 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.85 €5.74 €10.91 70
5Y P/E Exit n/a €1.99 €4.76 68
10Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a €1.02 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.8000 €3.42 €6.28 63
10Y P/E Exit n/a €1.08 €2.63 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.90 €3.71 €4.22 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.36 €5.87 €6.64 69
DDM Multi-Stage €5.36 €6.78 €8.74 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €5.75 €7.66 €9.58 63
P/S Multiple €5.43 €7.24 €9.05 58
P/B Multiple €4.36 €5.82 €7.27 55
EV/EBIT n/a €0.4200 €1.77 61
EV/EBITDA €4.88 €8.17 €11.46 65
EV/Revenue n/a n/a €1.10 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.62 €2.17 €3.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a €1.03 €3.77 75
Rev-Margin DCF n/a €0.0500 €1.97 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €3.10 €3.67 €6.28 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €4.08 €5.83 €7.59 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.1%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 21 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4% vs 6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

ENEL screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Diversified · 52 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.70× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.54× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.43× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 26.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.91× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)43 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)15 · sector 48
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.24 €8.00 −60%
Engie SA ENGI €24.25 €20.64 −15%
Sempra SRE $81.70 $43.35 −47%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.78 €9.09 −49%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €60.62 €47.21 −22%
ACWA Power Company 2082 181.50 SAR 27.47 SAR −85%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$51.08 C$59.52 +17%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.40 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.85 €3.81 −21%
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$11.74 A$7.70 −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Enel SpA (ENEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.68 versus a price of €8.95, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENEL?
Our model-based fair value for Enel SpA is €6.68 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €8.95.
What is the quality score of ENEL?
Enel SpA has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.68 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.24, optimistic scenario €8.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Enel SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.68, about −25% upside versus a price of €8.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.24, optimistic scenario €8.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Enel SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €77.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Enel SpA pay a dividend?
Enel SpA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into Enel SpA (ENEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Enel SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +23.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ENEL use?
Our models discount Enel SpA at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Enel SpA that is +23.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Enel SpA (ENEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Enel SpA grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +23.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Enel SpA (ENEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Enel SpA (+23.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.78 %: that much free cash flow Enel SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Enel SpA it is €6.68 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of €8.95. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Enel SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, ENEL trades above its calculated fair value: price €8.95, fair value €6.68, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ENEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€8.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.68). For Enel SpA the two are €2.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Enel SpA worth?
The market values Enel SpA at about €97.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is €8.95; our models calculate a fair value of €6.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ENEL?
Our models span a range for Enel SpA: cautious scenario €5.24, base €6.68, optimistic €8.57 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price €8.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ENEL?
Enel SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.5 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €6.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 3.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
What is the PEG ratio of ENEL?
The PEG ratio of Enel SpA is 0.91 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Enel SpA (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 1.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ENEL from its 52-week high?
Enel SpA trades at €8.95, about 13% below its 52-week high of €10.31 and 21% above the low of €7.37 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Enel SpA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Engie SA, Sempra, E.ON SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Enel SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price €8.95, calculated fair value €6.68 (−25%), Quality Score 46/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ENEL calculated?
We run Enel SpA through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Enel SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was €8.95. Our model-based fair value is €6.68, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Enel SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Enel SpA (ENEL) come from?
Earnings per share at Enel SpA grew +10.4 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.9 %, EBIT margin +4.3 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Enel SpA

How large is the market capitalisation of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The market capitalisation of Enel SpA is €97.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Enel SpA is 1.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Earnings per share at Enel SpA are €0.3800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The dividend yield of Enel SpA is 5.5% (payout 129%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The net margin of Enel SpA is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Enel SpA is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Enel SpA is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Enel SpA (ENEL)?
The operating margin of Enel SpA is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Revenue at Enel SpA is growing −6.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Enel SpA (ENEL)?
Earnings per share at Enel SpA are growing −5.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Enel SpA (ENEL) carry?
The net debt of Enel SpA is €60.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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