EDP, S.A (EDP) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · PT · Market cap €18.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −2.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (€2.67 to €5.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from €2.67 (bear) to €5.27 (bull), base €3.81. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.58 – €4.69 · fair‑value band €2.67 – €5.27 · the €4.47 price screens above the €3.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
EDP, S.A (EDP) currently trades at €4.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.81, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, EDP, S.A generated revenue of €15.6B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at €18.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.67 (bear case) to €5.27 (bull case); at €4.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -15%, EDP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€4.73) versus Earnings-Based (€1.82). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EDP, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Portugal, Spain, France, Poland, Romania, Italy, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Greece, Colombia, Brazil, North America, and internationally. It operates through Renewables, Networks, and Client Solutions & Energy Management segments.
Full company description
EDP, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Portugal, Spain, France, Poland, Romania, Italy, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Greece, Colombia, Brazil, North America, and internationally. It operates through Renewables, Networks, and Client Solutions & Energy Management segments. The company generates and sells electricity through hydro, combined-cycle gas turbine, coal, wind, solar, nuclear, and cogeneration and waste sources. The company is also involved in the supply of natural gas. In addition, it offers engineering, laboratory tests, professional training, and energy services, as well as property management services. The company was formerly known as EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. and changed its name to EDP, S.A. in April 2024. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EDP, S.A reported revenue of €15.6B in FY2025 versus €15.0B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1B in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.
EDP screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- EDP rises after raising outlook again on networks-led earnings strength
- Is Energias de Portugal (EDPFY) Outperforming Other Utilities Stocks This Year?
- Are Utilities Stocks Lagging Energias de Portugal (EDPFY) This Year?
- Is It Too Late To Consider EDP (ENXTLS:EDP) After 33% One Year Share Price Gain?
Peer Group
Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €21.25 | €9.34 | -56% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €10.28 | €5.83 | -43% |
| Engie SA 1ENGI | €26.59 | €17.39 | -35% |
| Sempra SRE | $93.15 | $47.77 | -49% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €19.34 | €11.71 | -39% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE | €56.52 | €29.64 | -48% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 198.20 SAR | 25.38 SAR | -87% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN | C$55.05 | C$17.66 | -68% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €69.00 | €21.11 | -69% |
| Origin Energy Limited ORG | A$10.38 | A$10.36 | -0% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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