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Bradda Head Lithium Limited (BHLIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $16.8M

BH Bradda Head Lithium Limited logo Bradda Head Lithium Limited BHLIF · US
Price$0.0363
Fair Value$0.0413
Upside+13.8%
Quality35/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0376 – $0.0449 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0460 to $0.0413 (−10.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −15.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0376). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Our model range runs from $0.0376 (bear) to $0.0449 (bull), base $0.0413. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 35/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.2432 $0.0110 Fair Value $0.0413 Feb 2022 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range $0.0110 – $0.2432 · fair‑value band $0.0376 – $0.0449 · the $0.0363 price screens below the $0.0413 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Bradda Head Lithium Limited (BHLIF) currently trades at $0.0363, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0413, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $30.2K. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0376 (bear case) to $0.0449 (bull case); at $0.0363, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 230% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 14%, BHLIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0800 $0.1200 $0.1600 68
P/E Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0600 63
Residual Income $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0300 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0200 $0.1300 $0.1900 54
Lynch FV $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1300 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1300 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0600 63
P/B Multiple $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0600 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0300 $0.0300 $0.0300 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0800 $0.1200 $0.1600 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($0.1200) versus Asset-Based ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $30.2K
Return on equity -10.7%
Free cash flow −$596K FY2025
Net cash $1.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bradda Head Lithium Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits and resources in the United States. It primarily explores for lithium, brine, pegmatite, and sedimentary.

Full company description

Bradda Head Lithium Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits and resources in the United States. It primarily explores for lithium, brine, pegmatite, and sedimentary. The company was formerly known as Bradda Head Holdings Limited and changed its name to Bradda Head Lithium Limited in September 2021. Bradda Head Lithium Limited is headquartered in Tortola, British Virgin Islands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bradda Head Lithium Limited reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus −$65 in FY2021. Reported net income was $1.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2020)
$58
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−87.3%
Revenue
FY21 −$65
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$722K
FY22 −$3.6M
FY23 −$3.9M
FY24 −$1.5M
FY25 $1.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bradda Head Lithium Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHLIF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside +10% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.01× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bradda Head Lithium Limited (BHLIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0413 versus a price of $0.0363, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BHLIF?
Our model-based fair value for Bradda Head Lithium Limited is $0.0413 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0363.
What is the quality score of BHLIF?
Bradda Head Lithium Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bradda Head Lithium Limited (BHLIF)?
Bradda Head Lithium Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.2K (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BHLIF?
The net profit margin of Bradda Head Lithium Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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