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Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation (BHN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · VN · Market cap 6.9T VND

HB Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation BHN · VN
Price30,550 VND
Fair Value34,264 VND
Upside+12.2%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range 25,698 VND – 42,830 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from 25,698 VND (bear) to 42,830 VND (bull), base 34,264 VND. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 69/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

65,810 VND 28,700 VND Fair Value 34,264 VND Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 28,700 VND – 65,810 VND · fair‑value band 25,698 VND – 42,830 VND · the 30,550 VND price screens below the 34,264 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation (BHN) currently trades at 30,550 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34,264 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation generated revenue of 9.0T VND at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 25,698 VND (bear case) to 42,830 VND (bull case); at 30,550 VND, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 12%, BHN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 26,050 VND 35,647 VND 49,389 VND 80
Residual Income 18,217 VND 20,279 VND 30,979 VND 76
Rev-Margin DCF 19,535 VND 26,968 VND 34,949 VND 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 25,292 VND 35,475 VND 50,654 VND 38
Owner Earnings 34,285 VND 48,662 VND 70,093 VND 31
5Y Revenue Exit 19,535 VND 26,667 VND 35,312 VND 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 25,753 VND 37,673 VND 50,899 VND 41
5Y P/E Exit 29,145 VND 43,679 VND 58,091 VND 38
10Y Revenue Exit 21,010 VND 27,849 VND 36,071 VND 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 25,391 VND 35,442 VND 47,644 VND 37
10Y P/E Exit 27,556 VND 39,585 VND 52,984 VND 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13,706 VND 31,138 VND 39,886 VND 54
PEG = 1.0 5,150 VND 7,357 VND 9,564 VND 46
EPV 13,079 VND 14,777 VND 16,287 VND 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 11,555 VND 19,607 VND 29,571 VND 70
DDM Multi-Stage 11,555 VND 17,237 VND 23,862 VND 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 31,745 VND 42,327 VND 52,908 VND 63
P/S Multiple 25,698 VND 34,264 VND 42,830 VND 58
P/B Multiple 25,698 VND 34,264 VND 42,830 VND 55
EV/EBIT 22,855 VND 29,321 VND 35,787 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 29,233 VND 37,824 VND 46,416 VND 54
EV/Revenue 17,302 VND 23,236 VND 29,169 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10,183 VND 13,645 VND 20,366 VND 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 26,050 VND 35,647 VND 49,389 VND 80
Rev-Margin DCF 19,535 VND 26,968 VND 34,949 VND 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 18,217 VND 20,279 VND 30,979 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 13,079 VND 14,777 VND 16,287 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 23,799 VND 33,999 VND 44,198 VND 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (35,475 VND) versus Asset-Based (13,645 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.0T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.3%
Net margin 5.7%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow 454B VND FY2025
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 1.5%
EPS (TTM) 2,207 VND
EPS growth (YoY) +135%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of beer, fermenting malt, spirits, non-alcoholic beverages, and mineral water. It also engages in the wholesale of rice, wheat, flour, and other grains; warehouse rental; and rental of machinery and equipment.

Full company description

Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of beer, fermenting malt, spirits, non-alcoholic beverages, and mineral water. It also engages in the wholesale of rice, wheat, flour, and other grains; warehouse rental; and rental of machinery and equipment. The company offers its products under the Hanoi Draft Beer, Truc Bach Beer, Uniaqua bottled water, and Hanoi Beer brands. It operates in Vietnam, Taiwan, South Korea, the United Kingdom, Germany, the United States, Australia, and internationally. Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation reported revenue of 8.5T VND in FY2025 versus 7.0T VND in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 467B VND in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.5T VND
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 7.0T VND
FY22 8.4T VND
FY23 7.8T VND
FY24 8.2T VND
FY25 8.5T VND
Net income +11.3%/yr
FY21 304B VND
FY22 465B VND
FY23 336B VND
FY24 371B VND
FY25 467B VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BHN

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 50 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 3
PAST 42 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI €73.62 €41.60 -43%
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 6,060 ARS -57%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD 222.91 MXN 201.74 MXN -9%
Heineken N.V HEIA €77.24 €65.06 -16%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $135.72 $177.43 +31%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,125 kr 607.30 -46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €71.20 €72.67 +2%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.60 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.58 HK$6.05 -8%
Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA C$63.10 C$74.42 +18%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation (BHN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 34,264 VND versus a price of 30,550 VND, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BHN?
Our model-based fair value for Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation is 34,264 VND (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 30,550 VND.
What is the quality score of BHN?
Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation (BHN)?
Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.0T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BHN?
The net profit margin of Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage Joint Stock Corporation is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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