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Biogen Inc (BIIB) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $30.8B

BI Biogen Inc logo Biogen Inc BIIB · US
Price$206.28
Fair Value$189.51
Upside-8.1%
Quality71/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $135.46 – $240.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $135.46 (bear) to $240.92 (bull), base $189.51. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$414.71 $113.38 Fair Value $189.51 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $113.38 – $414.71 · fair‑value band $135.46 – $240.92 · the $206.28 price screens above the $189.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Biogen Inc (BIIB) currently trades at $206.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $189.51, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Biogen Inc generated revenue of $9.9B at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $3.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $135.46 (bear case) to $240.92 (bull case); at $206.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -8%, BIIB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $168.55 $360.14 $659.44 80
Residual Income $99.79 $104.62 $112.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF $118.85 $227.35 $377.31 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $173.32 $345.67 $743.09 38
Owner Earnings $160.80 $344.95 $694.08 31
5Y Revenue Exit $118.85 $230.77 $387.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $152.87 $305.50 $505.25 41
5Y P/E Exit $123.75 $241.53 $381.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit $130.72 $247.06 $436.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $158.17 $303.88 $541.98 37
10Y P/E Exit $138.34 $255.25 $432.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $59.57 $338.52 $470.52 54
Lynch FV $95.11 $135.88 $176.64 50
PEG = 1.0 $95.11 $135.88 $176.64 46
EPV $86.80 $104.96 $120.86 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0400 $0.0900 $0.1400 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0400 $0.0800 $0.1000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $131.41 $175.21 $219.01 63
P/S Multiple $111.70 $148.93 $186.16 58
P/B Multiple $111.70 $148.93 $186.16 55
EV/EBIT $149.47 $206.70 $263.93 53
EV/EBITDA $153.29 $211.79 $270.29 54
EV/Revenue $93.52 $143.12 $192.71 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $61.83 $82.85 $123.66 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $168.55 $360.14 $659.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF $118.85 $227.35 $377.31 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $99.79 $104.62 $112.84 76
ROIC Compounder $86.80 $104.96 $120.86 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $138.47 $197.81 $257.15 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($255.25) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%
Net margin 13.8%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow $2.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.4
More key figures
Operating margin 22.9%
EPS (TTM) $9.31
EPS growth (YoY) +31.1%
Net debt $3.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Biogen Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and delivers therapies in the United States, Europe, Germany, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Biogen Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and delivers therapies in the United States, Europe, Germany, Asia, and internationally. The company provides TECFIDERA, VUMERITY, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, and TYSABRI for multiple sclerosis (MS); SPINRAZA for spinal muscular atrophy; SKYCLARYS to treat Friedreich's Ataxia; QALSODY for treating amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; FUMADERM to treat plaque psoriasis; BENEPALI, an etanercept biosimilar referencing ENBREL; IMRALDI, an adalimumab biosimilar referencing HUMIRA; FLIXABI, an infliximab biosimilar referencing REMICADE. It offers LEQEMBI for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease; ZURZUVAE for the treatment of postpartum depression; RITUXAN to treat non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), rheumatoid arthritis, two forms of ANCA-associated vasculitis, and pemphigus vulgaris; RITUXAN HYCELA for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and CLL; GAZYVA to treat CLL and follicular lymphoma; OCREVUS for relapsing MS and primary progressive MS; LUNSUMIO to treat relapsed or refractory follicular lymphoma; glofitamab for aRelapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; and other anti-CD20 therapies. Biogen Inc. has collaboration and license agreements with Merz Therapeutics; Alkermes Pharma Ireland Limited; Denali Therapeutics Inc.; UCB; Eisai Co., Ltd.; Genentech, Inc.; Neurimmune SubOne AG; Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Samsung Bioepis; and Sage Therapeutics, Inc., as well as collaborations with Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. for the development and commercialization of zorevunersen, a disease modifying medicine for the treatment of Dravet syndrome; Dayra Therapeutics, Inc. to develop oral macrocyclic peptides; Vanqua Bio, Inc. for developing Vanqua's preclinical oral C5aR1 antagonist compound; City Therapeutics, Inc. to develop select novel RNAi therapies; and ALTEOGEN Inc. to develop subcutaneous (SC) formulations of biologics utilizing ALT-B4. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Biogen Inc reported revenue of $9.8B in FY2025 versus $11.0B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.3B in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.8B
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+17.6%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 $11.0B
FY22 $10.2B
FY23 $9.8B
FY24 $9.7B
FY25 $9.8B
Net income −4.5%/yr
FY21 $1.6B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Biogen Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIIB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 75 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.10× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 15.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 0
FUTURE 10 · sector 25
PAST 31 · sector 52
HEALTH 83 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $257.59 $169.04 -34%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €377.80 €280.03 -26%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD $134.28 $146.50 +9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Biogen Inc (BIIB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $189.51 versus a price of $206.28, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BIIB?
Our model-based fair value for Biogen Inc is $189.51 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $206.28.
What is the quality score of BIIB?
Biogen Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Biogen Inc (BIIB)?
Biogen Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BIIB?
The net profit margin of Biogen Inc is about 13.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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