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Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Billwin Industries Ltd ₹21.31, price ₹44.23, upside -51.8%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · IN · ISIN INE0CRS01012

BI Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Billwin Industries Ltd

BILLWIN · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹21.31 · Strongly overvalued (−51.8%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +23.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹67.61 ₹9.46 Fair Value ₹21.31 Jun 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹9.46 – ₹67.61 · fair‑value band ₹12.20 – ₹27.56 · the ₹44.23 price screens above the ₹21.31 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Billwin Industries Limited manufactures, trades, and exports protective and waterproof wears in India. The company also offers protective gear.

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Billwin Industries Limited manufactures, trades, and exports protective and waterproof wears in India. The company also offers protective gear. Its products include rain jackets, rain jacket with hood and leggings/slicker suits, and raincoats for men, women, and children; pulsar and winter jackets; overcoats, padded jackets, and windcheaters; gemini crafts, inflatable rescue boats, and river raft boats; dinghy inflatable boats; sleeping bags; facial masks; protective coveralls; marine life jackets; rubber water ponds; rucksacks; and luggage, office, travel, school, and laptop bags. Billwin Industries Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN) currently trades at ₹44.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹21.31, 51.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹37.89 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹44.23 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹16.35, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹12.20 (bear) to ₹27.56 (bull), the price of ₹44.23 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Billwin Industries Ltd reported revenue of ₹80.8M in FY2026 versus ₹43.9M in FY2022, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.7M in FY2026, compounding +20.9%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹185M (≈ $1.9M) · P/E ratio 39.5 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.12 · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin 8.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 176% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −52%, BILLWIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹12.20 Fair Value ₹21.31 Bull ₹27.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.5707 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ₹14.12 ₹16.35 ₹18.27 72
Owner Earnings ₹17.53 ₹37.89 ₹78.24 71
EPV ₹14.12 ₹16.35 ₹18.27 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹17.53 ₹37.89 ₹78.24 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹7.61 ₹51.13 ₹71.64 63
Lynch FV ₹14.97 ₹21.39 ₹27.81 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹14.97 ₹21.39 ₹27.81 57
EPV ₹14.12 ₹16.35 ₹18.27 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹18.46 ₹24.61 ₹30.77 63
P/S Multiple ₹14.26 ₹19.02 ₹23.77 58
P/B Multiple ₹14.26 ₹19.02 ₹23.77 55
EV/EBIT ₹26.52 ₹35.35 ₹44.18 66
EV/EBITDA ₹18.76 ₹25.01 ₹31.25 67
EV/Revenue ₹16.28 ₹23.24 ₹30.20 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹17.46 ₹23.40 ₹34.93 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹25.04 ₹24.23 ₹24.58 71
ROIC Compounder ₹14.12 ₹16.35 ₹18.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹21.21 ₹30.29 ₹39.38 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 10%

BILLWIN screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Ralph Lauren Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 213 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.3% · Below median
Return on assets 3.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.29× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 21.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $357.10 $225.10 −37%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €43.70 €50.69 +16%
LPP SA LPP 24,900 PLN 20,032 PLN −20%
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI $19.73 $16.26 −18%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL $41.92 $46.11 +10%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$3.97 HK$7.44 +87%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥8.29 ¥5.59 −33%
V.F. Corporation VFC $14.42 $8.68 −40%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹37,695 ₹28,533 −24%
Hla Group 600398 ¥5.66 ¥11.97 +111%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Billwin Industries Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BILLWIN

Frequently asked questions

Is Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹21.31 versus a price of ₹44.23, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BILLWIN?
Our model-based fair value for Billwin Industries Ltd is ₹21.31 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹44.23.
What is the quality score of BILLWIN?
Billwin Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹21.31 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹12.20, optimistic scenario ₹27.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Billwin Industries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹21.31, about −52% upside versus a price of ₹44.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹12.20, optimistic scenario ₹27.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Billwin Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹80.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Billwin Industries Ltd it is ₹21.31 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹44.23. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Billwin Industries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, BILLWIN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹44.23, fair value ₹21.31, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BILLWIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹44.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹21.31). For Billwin Industries Ltd the two are ₹22.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Billwin Industries Ltd worth?
The market values Billwin Industries Ltd at about ₹185M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹44.23; our models calculate a fair value of ₹21.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BILLWIN?
Our models span a range for Billwin Industries Ltd: cautious scenario ₹12.20, base ₹21.31, optimistic ₹27.56 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹44.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BILLWIN?
Billwin Industries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹21.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 21.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Billwin Industries Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BILLWIN from its 52-week high?
Billwin Industries Ltd trades at ₹44.23, at its 52-week high of ₹44.23 and 176% above the low of ₹16.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹21.31 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Billwin Industries Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Billwin Industries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹44.23, calculated fair value ₹21.31 (−52%), Quality Score 35/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BILLWIN calculated?
We run Billwin Industries Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹21.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Billwin Industries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹44.23. Our model-based fair value is ₹21.31, about −52% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Billwin Industries Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹27.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹12.20 to ₹27.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Billwin Industries Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
The market capitalisation of Billwin Industries Ltd is ₹185M (≈ $1.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Billwin Industries Ltd is 2.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Earnings per share at Billwin Industries Ltd are ₹1.12 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
The net margin of Billwin Industries Ltd is 5.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Billwin Industries Ltd is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Billwin Industries Ltd is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
The operating margin of Billwin Industries Ltd is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Revenue at Billwin Industries Ltd is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN)?
Earnings per share at Billwin Industries Ltd are growing −63.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN) generate?
The free cash flow of Billwin Industries Ltd is −₹11.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Billwin Industries Ltd (BILLWIN) carry?
The net debt of Billwin Industries Ltd is ₹15.3M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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